California
Explore California on The Map ↗SenateNo 2026 race
U.S. House · projectedD 48 · R 4
GovernorD+24.8
2024 presidentD+20.1
Closest races
No U.S. Senate seat in California is on the 2026 ballot. The national forecast covers 35 Senate elections.
Projected delegation: D 48 · R 4
CA-01FLIPMike McGuire vs James GallagherD+15.5CA-02Jared Huffman vs Robin LittauD+33.1CA-03FLIPAmi Bera vs Robb TuckerD+17.1CA-04Mike Thompson vs Eric JonesD holdCA-05Tom McClintock vs Michael MasudaR+13.3CA-06Richard PanD+15.5CA-07Mai Vang vs Doris MatsuiD holdCA-08John Garamendi vs Rudy RecileD+41.4CA-09Josh Harder vs John McBrideD+21.5CA-10Mark DeSaulnier vs Jeff FreseD+40.9CA-11Scott Wiener vs Connie ChanD holdCA-12Lateefah Simon vs Jamie JoyceD holdCA-13Adam Gray vs Kevin LincolnD+11.9CA-14Aisha Wahab vs Melissa HernandezD holdCA-15Kevin Mullin vs Charles HoelterD+54.0CA-16Sam Liccardo vs Peter Sundin SouléD+54.2CA-17Ro Khanna vs Ritesh TandonD+45.9CA-18Zoe Lofgren vs Shane LewisD+36.4CA-19Jimmy Panetta vs Peter Coe VerbicaD+41.7CA-20Vince Fong vs Sandra Van ScotterR+23.4CA-21Jim Costa vs Kyle KirklandD+16.7CA-22FLIPRandy Villegas vs David G. ValadaoD+2.5CA-23Jay Obernolte vs Tessa Lynn HodgeR+12.2CA-24Salud Carbajal vs Bob SmithD+33.3CA-25Raul Ruiz vs Joe MalesD+16.6CA-26Jacqui Irwin vs Sam GallucciD+21.5CA-27George Whitesides vs Jason GibbsD+20.0CA-28Judy Chu vs April A. VerlatoD+33.7CA-29Luz Maria Rivas vs Angélica María DueñasD holdCA-30Laura Friedman vs Scott Alan MeyersD+46.7CA-31Gil Cisneros vs Eric ChingD+22.2CA-32Brad Sherman vs Larry ThompsonD+33.4CA-33Pete Aguilar vs Stephanie M. VargasD+20.1CA-34Jimmy Gomez vs Angela Gonzales-TorresD holdCA-35Norma J. Torres vs Mike CargileD+18.2CA-36Ted W. Lieu vs Houston BrignanoD+45.9CA-37Sydney Kamlager-Dove vs Samantha MotaD holdCA-38Hilda Solis vs Pedro Antonio CasasD+19.0CA-39Mark Takano vs Steve ManosD+19.8CA-40Ken Calvert vs Young KimR holdCA-41FLIPLinda Sánchez vs Mitch ClemmonsD+20.5CA-42Robert Garcia vs Brian BurleyD+23.0CA-43Maxine Waters vs Cristian MoralesD+54.9CA-44Nanette Diaz Barragan vs Genevieve AngelD+42.3CA-45Derek Tran vs Chuong V. VoD+14.9CA-46Lou Correa vs David PanD+25.6CA-47Dave Min vs Jenny Rae Le RouxD+20.3CA-48FLIPMarni von Wilpert vs Jim DesmondD+4.6CA-49Mike Levin vs Armen KurdianD+22.1CA-50Scott Peters vs Steve CohenD+27.5CA-51Sara Jacobs vs Ricardo CabreraD+27.4CA-52Juan Vargas vs Jeff BelleD+26.8
Context, not a 2026 forecast.
- 2024 result
- D+20.1
- 2020 result
- D+29.2
How California decides its electionsone exception
- U.S. House · GovernorCalifornia — top-two primaryThe general election itself is a single round, so a lead probability is a win probability — but only where the two finalists are of different parties. Same-party generals are handled separately and their two-party margin is withheld.