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California

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SenateNo 2026 race
U.S. House · projectedD 48 · R 4
GovernorD+23.0
2024 presidentD+20.1

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. Governor: Xavier Becerra ahead of Steve Hilton by D+23.0, with a 99 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 48 of the state's 52 districts and Republicans in 4.

Closest races

CA-22FlipRandy Villegas vs. David G. ValadaoLean DD+3.0CA-48FlipMarni von Wilpert vs. Jim DesmondLean DD+5.2CA-40Ken Calvert vs. Young KimSolid RR holdCA-23Jay Obernolte vs. Tessa Lynn HodgeLikely RR+11.4

Projected delegation: D 48 · R 4

CA-01FlipMike McGuire vs. James GallagherSolid DD+16.2CA-02Jared Huffman vs. Robin LittauSolid DD+33.8CA-03FlipAmi Bera vs. Robb TuckerSolid DD+17.8CA-04Mike Thompson vs. Eric JonesSolid DD holdCA-05Tom McClintock vs. Michael MasudaLikely RR+12.6CA-06Richard PanSolid DD+16.2CA-07Mai Vang vs. Doris MatsuiSolid DD holdCA-08John Garamendi vs. Rudy RecileSolid DD+42.0CA-09Josh Harder vs. John McBrideSolid DD+22.2CA-10Mark DeSaulnier vs. Jeff FreseSolid DD+41.6CA-11Scott Wiener vs. Connie ChanSolid DD holdCA-12Lateefah Simon vs. Jamie JoyceSolid DD holdCA-13Adam Gray vs. Kevin LincolnLikely DD+12.6CA-14Aisha Wahab vs. Melissa HernandezSolid DD holdCA-15Kevin Mullin vs. Charles HoelterSolid DD+54.6CA-16Sam Liccardo vs. Peter Sundin SouléSolid DD+54.8CA-17Ro Khanna vs. Ritesh TandonSolid DD+46.6CA-18Zoe Lofgren vs. Shane LewisSolid DD+37.2CA-19Jimmy Panetta vs. Peter Coe VerbicaSolid DD+42.4CA-20Vince Fong vs. Sandra Van ScotterSolid RR+22.6CA-21Jim Costa vs. Kyle KirklandSolid DD+17.4CA-22FlipRandy Villegas vs. David G. ValadaoLean DD+3.0CA-23Jay Obernolte vs. Tessa Lynn HodgeLikely RR+11.4CA-24Salud Carbajal vs. Bob SmithSolid DD+34.0CA-25Raul Ruiz vs. Joe MalesSolid DD+17.2CA-26Jacqui Irwin vs. Sam GallucciSolid DD+22.2CA-27George Whitesides vs. Jason GibbsSolid DD+20.8CA-28Judy Chu vs. April A. VerlatoSolid DD+34.4CA-29Luz Maria Rivas vs. Angélica María DueñasSolid DD holdCA-30Laura Friedman vs. Scott Alan MeyersSolid DD+47.4CA-31Gil Cisneros vs. Eric ChingSolid DD+22.8CA-32Brad Sherman vs. Larry ThompsonSolid DD+34.0CA-33Pete Aguilar vs. Stephanie M. VargasSolid DD+20.8CA-34Jimmy Gomez vs. Angela Gonzales-TorresSolid DD holdCA-35Norma J. Torres vs. Mike CargileSolid DD+19.0CA-36Ted W. Lieu vs. Houston BrignanoSolid DD+46.6CA-37Sydney Kamlager-Dove vs. Samantha MotaSolid DD holdCA-38Hilda Solis vs. Pedro Antonio CasasSolid DD+19.6CA-39Mark Takano vs. Steve ManosSolid DD+20.6CA-40Ken Calvert vs. Young KimSolid RR holdCA-41FlipLinda Sánchez vs. Mitch ClemmonsSolid DD+21.2CA-42Robert Garcia vs. Brian BurleySolid DD+23.6CA-43Maxine Waters vs. Cristian MoralesSolid DD+55.6CA-44Nanette Diaz Barragan vs. Genevieve AngelSolid DD+43.0CA-45Derek Tran vs. Chuong V. VoSolid DD+15.6CA-46Lou Correa vs. David PanSolid DD+26.4CA-47Dave Min vs. Jenny Rae Le RouxSolid DD+21.0CA-48FlipMarni von Wilpert vs. Jim DesmondLean DD+5.2CA-49Mike Levin vs. Armen KurdianSolid DD+22.8CA-50Scott Peters vs. Steve CohenSolid DD+28.2CA-51Sara Jacobs vs. Ricardo CabreraSolid DD+28.2CA-52Juan Vargas vs. Jeff BelleSolid DD+27.6
How California decides its electionsone exception