North Carolina

SenateD+8.6

U.S. House · projectedD 5 · R 9

GovernorNo 2026 race

2024 presidentR+3.2

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Roy Cooper ahead of Michael Whatley by D+8.6, with a 93 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 5 of the state's 14 districts and Republicans in 9.

Closest races

NC-01Don Davis vs. Laurie BuckhoutLean DD+3.0 NC-11FlipJennifer Balkcom vs. Jamie AgerLean DD+5.0 NC-03Greg Murphy vs. Raymond Smith Jr.Likely RR+6.5 NC-09Richard Hudson vs. Richard OjedaLikely RR+7.1

Projected delegation: D 5 · R 9

NC-01Don Davis vs. Laurie BuckhoutLean DD+3.0 NC-02Deborah Ross vs. Gene DouglassSolid DD+39.2 NC-03Greg Murphy vs. Raymond Smith Jr.Likely RR+6.5 NC-04Valerie Foushee vs. Max GanorkarSolid DD+49.0 NC-05Virginia Foxx vs. Chuck HubbardLikely RR+11.1 NC-06Addison McDowell vs. Cyril JeffersonLikely RR+10.8 NC-07David Rouzer vs. Kim HardyLikely RR+8.3 NC-08Mark Harris vs. Colby WatsonLikely RR+12.0 NC-09Richard Hudson vs. Richard OjedaLikely RR+7.1 NC-10Pat Harrigan vs. Ashley BellLikely RR+11.5 NC-11FlipJennifer Balkcom vs. Jamie AgerLean DD+5.0 NC-12Alma Adams vs. Jack CodigaSolid DD+50.4 NC-13Brad Knott vs. Paul BarringerLikely RR+9.9 NC-14Tim Moore vs. LaKesha WomackLikely RR+8.5