Kansas

SenateR+1.9

U.S. House · projectedD 1 · R 3

GovernorR+6.8

2024 presidentR+16.1

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Roger Marshall ahead of Adam Hamilton by R+1.9, with a 63 in 100 chance to win. Governor: Ty Masterson ahead of Cindy Holscher by R+6.8, with an 85 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 1 of the state's 4 districts and Republicans in 3.

Closest races

U.S. SenateAdam Hamilton vs. Roger MarshallTilt RR+1.9 GovernorFlipCindy Holscher vs. Ty MastersonLikely RR+6.8 KS-02Derek Schmidt vs. Don CooverLikely RR+7.6 KS-03Sharice Davids vs. Eric JenkinsSolid DD+16.4

Projected delegation: D 1 · R 3

KS-01Tracey Mann vs. Lauren ReinholdSolid RR+24.5 KS-02Derek Schmidt vs. Don CooverLikely RR+7.6 KS-03Sharice Davids vs. Eric JenkinsSolid DD+16.4 KS-04Ron Estes vs. Katy TyndellSolid RR+17.7