Call
the Map
FORECAST34 DAYS OUT

Democrats are favored in the House. The Senate is on a knife's edge.

House control

79in 100 D

Senate control

53in 100 D

Four ways it can land

  1. Republicans win both17in 100
  2. R Senate · D House30in 100
  3. D Senate · R House4in 100
  4. Democrats win both49in 100
NCGAMEMINHOHTXIANEAKMNILFLCONMNJVAMARIDEORALARIDKSKYLAMSMTOKSCSDTNWVWYVTWANDWINYNVINPACTCAUTMOMDAZHI

The 35 Senate races.

The closest races · Senate

MaineTroy Jackson (D) vs. Susan Collins (R)Toss-upEvenTexasFLIPJames Talarico (D) vs. Ken Paxton (R) · openTilt DD+0.8IowaJosh Turek (D) vs. Ashley Hinson (R) · openTilt RR+1.0OhioFLIPSherrod Brown (D) vs. Jon Husted (R)Tilt DD+1.6MinnesotaPeggy Flanagan (D) vs. Michele Tafoya (R) · openTilt DD+2.2MichiganAbdul El-Sayed (D) vs. Mike Rogers (R) · openLean DD+2.3

· Every Senate race →

From the wire · Senate

Paxton worries about drop in polling numbers after midterm GOP convention in leaked audioHouston Public MediaWednesday · September 30Lummis blocks Senate resolution criticizing Trump’s taxpayer-funded TV adsWyoFileWednesday · September 30Troy Jackson Walks Back His Comment on Jewish Mainers' Views on GazaNOTUSWednesday · September 30Trump Announces $54 Billion Investment in a State With Tight Senate RaceNOTUSWednesday · September 30

All coverage & the Social Wire →

Biggest movessince Sep 29, 1:07 PM ET

  1. Minnesota-0.6D+2.2
  2. Maine-0.5Tied
  3. Michigan+0.4D+2.3
  4. Iowa-0.3R+1.0

← toward Republicans±5 pointstoward Democrats →

4 of 29 Senate races moved

Go deeper

The Mapevery county, every precinctScenariomove the environment yourselfPollswhat we admit, and whyAbouthow the model works