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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · a closer look

Democrats lead for two-thirds of 22 chambers in the state legislatures, up from 16

What the headline numbers leave out, from the official counts: two-thirds majorities, the states where one party won every statewide office, the Hispanic counties that swung back, and the races lost by a few points on deep-red ground.

Who holds two-thirds of a legislature now

Chambers where one party holds two-thirds of the seats, before the election and as the counts stand. Two-thirds is the common bar for overriding a veto or sending an amendment to the voters, though each state sets its own. Legislative seats are not called here. These are the leaders in the count.

Two-thirds won

  • ArizonaSenate
  • ColoradoSenate, House
  • DelawareHouse
  • IllinoisHouse
  • MaineSenate
  • New MexicoHouse
  • NevadaAssembly
  • New YorkSenate
  • WashingtonHouse

Two-thirds lost

  • IowaHouse
  • IndianaHouse
  • KansasHouse
  • MissouriSenate
  • New HampshireSenate
  • South CarolinaHouse
  • UtahHouse

Still open

  • ArkansasHouse (R within reach)
  • FloridaSenate (R within reach), House (R within reach)
  • HawaiiSenate (D within reach), House (D within reach)
  • KentuckySenate (R within reach), House (D or R within reach)
  • MichiganSenate (D or R within reach), House (D or R within reach)
  • OklahomaHouse (R within reach)

Before the election Democrats held two-thirds of 16 chambers and Republicans of 36. On the leads now, 22 and 19. A chamber counts as having lost its two-thirds only when the seats still uncounted could not restore it.

Every state’s legislative seats changing party

Seats where a different party leads than held them, by state, on balance. Leaders in the count, not called winners.

AKMEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMINYMARIORNVWYSDIAILINOHPANJCTCAUTCONEMOKYWVVAMDDEAZNMKSARTNNCOKLAMSALSCHITXGAFL
  1. North Carolina+28 D seats
  2. Connecticut+22 D seats
  3. Indiana+21 D seats
  4. Kansas+20 D seats
  5. Texas+20 D seats
  6. Missouri+18 D seats
  7. Arizona+17 D seats
  8. Maine+17 D seats
  9. Florida+15 D seats
  10. Georgia+15 D seats
  11. Minnesota+15 D seats
  12. Pennsylvania+15 D seats
  13. Utah+15 D seats
  14. New York+14 D seats
  15. West Virginia+13 D seats
  16. Iowa+12 D seats
  17. Ohio+11 D seats
  18. Wisconsin+11 D seats
  19. Illinois+10 D seats
  20. South Carolina+10 D seats
  21. Arkansas+9 D seats
  22. Washington+9 D seats
  23. California+7 D seats
  24. Colorado+7 D seats
  25. New Hampshire+7 D seats
  26. Idaho+6 D seats
  27. Oklahoma+6 D seats
  28. Tennessee+6 D seats
  29. Maryland+5 D seats
  30. Michigan+5 D seats
  31. Nevada+5 D seats
  32. Alabama+4 D seats
  33. North Dakota+4 D seats
  34. Rhode Island+4 D seats
  35. Delaware+3 D seats
  36. Hawaii+3 D seats
  37. New Mexico+3 D seats
  38. Louisiana+1 D seat

In all, 425 seats to the Democrats and 12 to the Republicans.

259 counties Trump won in 2024 voted for the Democrat this year

The deepest Trump ground first: each county’s 2024 presidential margin, and its margin in this year’s top race. 10 counties went the other way.

  1. Seward County, KSSenateR+39.0 → D+13.5
  2. Ford County, KSSenateR+38.4 → D+1.1
  3. Reeves County, TXSenateR+36.9 → D+7.7
  4. Finney County, KSSenateR+34.7 → D+2.5
  5. St. Bernard Parish, LASenateR+29.3 → D+0.1
  6. Kaufman County, TXSenateR+27.9 → D+1.3
  7. Val Verde County, TXSenateR+26.6 → D+12.2
  8. Washington County, PAGovernorR+25.5 → D+2.4
  9. Haywood County, NCSenateR+25.1 → D+0.5
  10. Harnett County, NCSenateR+25.1 → D+0.6
  11. Brazos County, TXSenateR+24.9 → D+6.0
  12. Frio County, TXSenateR+24.6 → D+11.3
  13. DeSoto County, MSSenateR+24.1 → D+6.1
  14. Weber County, UTHouse voteR+23.6 → D+1.3
  15. Madison County, NCSenateR+23.5 → D+3.6

Where one party won every statewide office

Every statewide office on each ballot with three or more: the Senate, the governor and the offices below them. A sweep is one party winning every one decided. A seat elected by district is not counted.

Democratic sweeps

Republican sweeps

Split ballots: California, South Carolina, North Dakota, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, Vermont, Indiana.

The counties that swung furthest toward Trump in 2024 swung furthest back

Each county’s move from 2020 to 2024 against its move from 2024 to this year, sized by its vote and shaded by its Hispanic share (Census Bureau, 2019–2023). The 2024-to-2026 move sets this year’s top race against the president, so a candidate’s own pull is in it too.

R+30R+20R+100D+10R+50R+40R+30R+20R+100D+10D+20D+30D+40D+50D+60D+70D+802020 → 2024, president to president →↑ 2024 president → 2026 top race

The ten largest counties

37 races Democrats lost by under five points on ground Trump won by ten or more

Called races only; the deepest Trump ground first.

  1. Alabama Governorlost by 3.9R+30.6 in 2024
  2. Tennessee Governorlost by 2.5R+29.7 in 2024
  3. Indiana 2nd Districtlost by 4.9R+26.3 in 2024
  4. Tennessee 6th Districtlost by 3.3R+26.2 in 2024
  5. Tennessee 5th Districtlost by 4.9R+22.8 in 2024
  6. Texas 6th Districtlost by 4.3R+22.7 in 2024
  7. Texas 2nd Districtlost by 2.0R+22.6 in 2024
  8. Tennessee 7th Districtlost by 2.2R+22.2 in 2024
  9. Texas 22nd Districtlost by 3.6R+22.1 in 2024
  10. Louisiana Senatelost by 1.8R+22.0 in 2024
  11. Oklahoma 1st Districtlost by 4.6R+21.4 in 2024
  12. Texas 5th Districtlost by 2.9R+21.3 in 2024
  13. Texas 27th Districtlost by 2.3R+21.0 in 2024
  14. Texas 38th Districtlost by 4.2R+20.8 in 2024
  15. New York 21st Districtlost by 1.9R+20.2 in 2024
  16. Arizona 5th Districtlost by 3.4R+19.7 in 2024
  17. North Carolina 8th Districtlost by 1.8R+19.1 in 2024
  18. South Carolina Attorney Generallost by 4.7R+17.9 in 2024
  19. South Carolina Comptroller Generallost by 4.1R+17.9 in 2024
  20. Florida 2nd Districtlost by 4.2R+17.9 in 2024
  21. South Carolina Governorlost by 4.5R+17.9 in 2024
  22. South Carolina Superintendent of Educationlost by 2.8R+17.9 in 2024
  23. Texas 32nd Districtlost by 2.9R+17.7 in 2024
  24. Florida 18th Districtlost by 3.6R+16.7 in 2024

Where the Senate and governor’s races went different ways

Every state with a Democrat against a Republican for both: the two margins, the widest gap first. For a race still counting, the margin is our estimate of the finish.

  1. New HampshiresplitSenate D+13.7Governor R+4.418.1 apart
  2. OklahomaSenate R+17.9Governor R+6.011.9 apart
  3. New MexicoSenate D+26.5Governor D+14.711.8 apart
  4. MaineSenate D+6.1Governor D+16.910.8 apart
  5. OregonSenate D+19.4Governor D+9.69.8 apart
  6. TennesseeSenate R+12.2Governor R+2.59.7 apart
  7. GeorgiaSenate D+18.0Governor D+8.79.4 apart
  8. South CarolinasplitSenate D+4.5Governor R+4.59.0 apart
  9. IowaSenate D+4.1Governor D+11.06.9 apart
  10. AlabamaSenate R+9.5Governor R+3.95.6 apart
  11. TexasSenate D+12.1Governor D+7.15.0 apart
  12. KansasSenate D+5.1Governor D+0.74.4 apart
  13. MassachusettsSenate D+31.2Governor D+27.24.0 apart
  14. MichiganSenate D+7.0Governor D+10.83.8 apart
  15. ArkansasSenate R+11.8Governor R+15.33.4 apart
  16. OhioSenate D+4.9Governor D+7.93.1 apart

How the vote differed by the way it was cast

Only some states’ offices report their count by how it was cast. For the 11 Senate and governor’s races that do, each way’s margin, Democrat minus Republican. Each office names the ways differently, so we sort them by those names. “Other” is provisional ballots and anything unnamed.

RaceElection DayMail and absenteeEarly in personOther
Arizona GovernorR+7.9 402k—D+17.1 2,143kD+12.6 755
Georgia GovernorR+9.2 1,359kD+26.4 136kD+16.8 2,687kD+8.8 478
Iowa GovernorR+0.1 881kD+31.0 486k——
Maryland GovernorD+19.2 1,081kD+58.6 336kD+38.4 599k—
South Carolina GovernorR+24.6 956kD+27.4 43kD+12.8 1,035kD+21.2 3.5k
Georgia SenateD+2.3 1,357kD+37.6 137kD+25.0 2,685kD+18.7 477
Iowa SenateR+7.5 877kD+25.1 484k——
North Carolina SenateR+1.2 1,377kD+53.3 108kD+28.8 2,718kD+13.4 127
Rhode Island SenateD+29.2 219kD+69.0 30kD+45.4 111k—
South Carolina SenateR+14.0 957kD+35.9 43kD+20.2 1,037kD+28.2 3.5k
Virginia SenateD+11.8 1,931kD+59.5 333kD+29.2 1,306kD+63.9 20k

131 counties moved toward the Republicans

Against their 2024 presidential vote, in this year’s top race. By state: South Dakota 34, New York 31, Vermont 14, Maine 12, Montana 11, Maryland 9, Illinois 7, California 3.

  1. Schuyler County, IL15.6 toward the RepublicansR+46.8 in 2024 → R+62.4
  2. Mellette County, SD11.6 toward the RepublicansR+20.1 in 2024 → R+31.7
  3. Hyde County, SD10.9 toward the RepublicansR+55.0 in 2024 → R+65.9
  4. Jerauld County, SD9.8 toward the RepublicansR+43.2 in 2024 → R+53.1
  5. Jefferson County, NY8.9 toward the RepublicansR+23.6 in 2024 → R+32.5
  6. Brown County, IL8.8 toward the RepublicansR+59.9 in 2024 → R+68.7
  7. Ziebach County, SD8.8 toward the RepublicansR+2.8 in 2024 → R+11.6
  8. Hancock County, IL8.7 toward the RepublicansR+50.0 in 2024 → R+58.6
  9. Hand County, SD8.6 toward the RepublicansR+57.3 in 2024 → R+65.9
  10. Chemung County, NY8.5 toward the RepublicansR+16.8 in 2024 → R+25.3
  11. Lewis County, NY8.2 toward the RepublicansR+44.4 in 2024 → R+52.7
  12. Clark County, SD8.1 toward the RepublicansR+52.5 in 2024 → R+60.6
  13. Vermilion County, IL7.6 toward the RepublicansR+35.7 in 2024 → R+43.3
  14. Hughes County, SD7.5 toward the RepublicansR+30.1 in 2024 → R+37.6
  15. Clinton County, NY7.3 toward the RepublicansR+2.2 in 2024 → R+9.5
  16. Piscataquis County, ME7.3 toward the RepublicansR+29.2 in 2024 → R+36.5
  17. Latah County, ID7.3 toward the RepublicansR+8.0 in 2024 → R+15.2
  18. Garfield County, WA7.1 toward the RepublicansR+48.1 in 2024 → R+55.2
  19. Sully County, SD6.9 toward the RepublicansR+60.8 in 2024 → R+67.7
  20. St. Lawrence County, NY6.5 toward the RepublicansR+18.0 in 2024 → R+24.5

Outside Vermont, the largest moves first; Vermont’s 14 counties are left out of this list.

The ballot measures on how elections are run

Measures picked from 129 by their titles: citizenship to vote, voter ID, primaries, registration, the rules for amendments. Passing means the yes vote leads. Some states set a higher bar.

  1. ArkansasCitizenship to voteCitizenship Requirement for Voting AmendmentPassing · 69.1% yes
  2. MassachusettsPrimaries and ranked choiceQuestion 3: Top-two primary electionsFailing · 39.0% yes
  3. MassachusettsRegistrationQuestion 4: Same-day voter registrationPassing · 56.3% yes
  4. North CarolinaVoter IDConstitutional amendment: Require photo ID for votingPassing · 59.6% yes
  5. North DakotaAmendments and initiativesConstitutional Measure No. 1 relating to the threshold for approving a constitutional amendment from a simple majority to sixty percentFailing · 43.5% yes
  6. OhioVoter IDState Issue 3 To require voters to present photo identification in order to votePassing · 65.3% yes
  7. South DakotaCitizenship to voteConstitutional Amendment J: An amendment to the South Dakota constitution clarifying that an individual must be a citizen of the United States to be eligible to votePassing · 61.5% yes
  8. South DakotaAmendments and initiativesConstitutional Amendment L: An amendment to the South Dakota constitution requiring that a proposed constitutional amendment or revision receive an affirmative vote of sixty percent of the votes castFailing · 42.4% yes
  9. West VirginiaCitizenship to voteAmendment No. 1: Citizenship requirement to vote in West Virginia elections amendmentPassing · 79.5% yes