Call
the Map
2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Arizona

Republicans came within 1 seat of a majority of Arizona’s House delegation

In the House, every one of the nine contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 15.8 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

Loading the counties

Arizona’s nine House seats

Loading the districts
Before3–6
20265–4

Solid: won; paler: leading, still counting. The tick marks a majority (5 of 9). 2 seats change party: AZ-06, AZ-01.

Republicans lost 2 seats by under 9 points: AZ-01 D+6.9, AZ-06 D+8.0. A majority took 5 of 9; they held 4, and the closest would have made it.

The seat that decided the majority: AZ-01, D+6.9, a district that voted R+3.1 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin (the expected finish where still counting, marked *). Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 5 seats needed for a majority.
  1. AZ-03Yassamin AnsariD+85.5← 46.2
  2. AZ-07Adelita GrijalvaD+43.9← 22.1
  3. AZ-04Greg StantonD+27.0← 20.5
  4. AZ-06JoAnna MendozaFlipD+8.0← 8.8
  5. AZ-01Amish ShahFlipD+6.9← 9.9
  6. AZ-02Eli CraneR+1.2*← 13.6
  7. AZ-08Abraham "Abe" HamadehR+2.5*← 13.4
  8. AZ-05Mark LambR+3.4← 16.3
  9. AZ-09Paul GosarR+14.7← 15.8

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

Loading the counties
Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the governor's race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the governor's race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

  1. Yuma County

    Moved 27.1 points toward Democrats: R+20.4 for president in 2024; Katie Hobbs, the Democrat, carried it at D+6.7. The county changed sides.

    33,814 votes counted, 68,195 cast in 2024.

  2. Santa Cruz County

    Moved 26.5 points toward Democrats: D+18.6 for president in 2024; Katie Hobbs, the Democrat, carried it at D+45.2.

    13,704 votes counted, 19,121 cast in 2024.

  3. Maricopa County

    Moved 19.7 points toward Democrats: R+3.5 for president in 2024; Katie Hobbs, the Democrat, carried it at D+16.2. The county changed sides.

    1,529,822 votes counted, 2,053,945 cast in 2024.

  4. Apache County

    Moved 19.5 points toward Democrats: D+19.0 for president in 2024; Katie Hobbs, the Democrat, carried it at D+38.4.

    26,769 votes counted, 32,019 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Across counties, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 1.1 points more Democratic, on average (r = 0.25, a weak relationship).

0D+5D+10D+15D+20D+25D+3010%20%30%40%% with a bachelor's degree →↑ moved toward Democrats from 2024

By place

Suburban2 counties, 1,934,917 votes19.1 pts → D
Rural13 counties, 611,049 votes17.1 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

Hispanic residents 30% or more7 counties, 2,041,059 votes19.4 pts → D
Every other county8 counties, 504,907 votes16.3 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Arizona

Senate and governor

GovernorKatie Hobbs Dover Andy Biggs (R)D+13.1R+5.518.7 pts → Dwon

House · Changes first, then the closest

District 1FlipAmish Shah Dover Thomas "Jay" Feely IV (R)D+6.9R+3.19.9 pts → DwonDistrict 6FlipJoAnna Mendoza Dover Juan Ciscomani (R)D+8.0R+0.78.8 pts → DwonDistrict 2Eli Crane Rover Jonathan Nez (D)R+1.2*R+14.713.6 pts → DcountingDistrict 8Abraham "Abe" Hamadeh Rover Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D)R+2.5*R+15.813.4 pts → DcountingDistrict 5Mark Lamb Rover Elizabeth Lee (D)R+3.4R+19.716.3 pts → Dwon

Other statewide offices

TreasurerFlipNick Mansour Dover Elijah Norton (R)D+7.7R+5.513.3 pts → DwonCorporation CommissionerClara Pratte Dover Jonathon Hill (D)+1.1*——countingSuperintendent of Public InstructionTeresa Leyba Ruiz Dover Kimberly Yee (R)D+6.5R+5.512.0 pts → DwonAttorney GeneralKris Mayes Dover Warren Petersen (R)D+11.0R+5.516.5 pts → DwonSecretary of StateAdrian Fontes Dover Alexander Kolodin (R)D+11.2R+5.516.8 pts → Dwon

Ballot measures

Proposition 14151.0% yespassing
Proposition 14240.1% yesfailing
Proposition 14446.7% yesfailing
Proposition 31662.0% yespassing
Proposition 31756.7% yespassing

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Compare

Across the 8 counties that lie wholly in one district, the governor's race went D+1.2 and the House races Even: the governor's margin ran 1.2 points more Democratic than the House margin. Every county was carried by the same party in both.

Loading the map

Points of difference between the Governor margin and the House margin in each county.

Gov. D, House RGov. R, House DR+50R+25R+2500D+25D+25D+50D+50same margin in both ↗House marginGovernor margin
Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Governor Democrat did better than the House Democrat; below it, worse.

04025Republican in both

Governor
R+21.8Hobbs against Biggs
House
R+25.2the district's race
Difference
D+3.4Hobbs ran ahead
Votes
about 120,177
Most votes firstGov.HouseDiff.
  • 04025R+21.8R+25.2D+3.4
  • 04005D+37.9D+38.5R+0.5
  • 04017R+1.6R+1.5R+0.1
  • 04001D+38.4D+44.9R+6.5
  • 04007R+24.7R+29.0D+4.2
  • 04023D+45.2D+44.0D+1.1
  • 04012R+31.0R+36.9D+6.0
  • 04011R+11.2R+17.3D+6.1

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. The House is compared only in counties that lie wholly inside one congressional district, so the county's House margin is one race's margin; a county divided between districts, or in a district without a Democrat against a Republican, is left out. 7 counties are left out. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

Arizona’s legislature

Senate30 of 30 seats on the ballotBefore13–17Leaders20–107 seats are led by another party than held them. Control moves to the Democrats.Every district, mapped →House60 of 60 seats on the ballotBefore27–33Leaders37–238 seats are led by another party than held them. Control moves to the Democrats.Every district, mapped →

Counts are Arizona’s official state and county counts, published by the Arizona Secretary of State. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.