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2026 midtermsResults

Democrats are favored in the House. Democrats are slightly favored in the Senate.

House control

83in 100 D

Senate control

62in 100 D

Four ways it can land

  1. Republicans win both15in 100
  2. R Senate · D House23in 100
  3. D Senate · R House2in 100
  4. Democrats win both60in 100

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Election nightThe printable guide for November 3

CompareAll forecasts combined, side by side8 models, 2 markets

Try itSwing the vote and watch the map moveScenario Machine

NCGAMEMINHOHTXIANEAKMNILFLCONMNJVAMARIDEORALARIDKSKYLAMSMTOKSCSDTNWVWYVTWANDWINYNVINPACTCAUTMOMDAZHI

The 35 Senate races.

The closest races · Senate

IowaJosh Turek (D) vs. Ashley Hinson (R) · openTilt RR+0.8AlaskaMary Peltola (D) vs. Dan S. Sullivan (R) vs. Gerald L. Heikes (R)Toss-upD+0.8TexasFlipJames Talarico (D) vs. Ken Paxton (R) · openTilt DD+1.5MaineFlipTroy Jackson (D) vs. Susan Collins (R)Tilt DD+1.6KansasFlipAdam Hamilton (D) vs. Roger Marshall (R)Tilt DD+1.7OhioFlipSherrod Brown (D) vs. Jon Husted (R)Tilt DD+1.7

· Every Senate race →

From the wire · Senate

Lawyers, advocates hover as Mississippi election officials count final Colom, Hyde-Smith votesMississippi TodaySaturday · November 7See how Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown performed in Cuyahoga CountySignal ClevelandSaturday · November 7Scott Colom and Black Mississippians stand on the cusp of Senate history as vote count stretches onPBS NewsHour PoliticsSaturday · November 7Dearborn Mayor says Senate election drives record voter turnoutMichigan PublicSaturday · November 7

All coverage & the Social Wire →

Biggest movessince Nov 1, 9:03 PM ET

  1. Colorado-4.0D+20.3
  2. Louisiana+3.0R+12.3
  3. Illinois-1.2D+13.5
  4. Kansas+1.1D+1.7
  5. Tennessee+0.9R+25.4
  6. New Hampshire+0.8D+5.7
  7. Massachusetts-0.8D+29.9
  8. North Carolina+0.7D+9.3
  9. Rhode Island+0.5D+30.9
  10. Maine+0.5D+1.6

← Toward Republicans±5 pointsToward Democrats →

15 of 35 Senate races moved at least 0.2 points · 10 shown · Montana not compared on this board

Forecast as of November 3, 2026: Democrats have an 83 in 100 chance to win the House and a 62 in 100 chance to win the Senate. The state of the race, in plain words →

The 2026 forecast archive

Houseevery district’s final forecastSenatethe 35 racesGovernorsthe 36 racesStatesevery state’s ballotEvery forecastthe models and markets side by sidePollswhat we admitted, and whyMarketsthe prediction markets we trackedScenario Machinemove the environment yourselfLinesthe maps, redrawnPrediction gamethe readers’ ballotsElection night guidethe printable companionEarly votethe counts before the dayMethodologyhow the model workedThe resultsthe official counts