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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Wyoming

Harriet Hageman, the Republican, wins Wyoming’s Senate race by 30.3 points

Donald Trump carried Wyoming by 46.2 points in 2024; the Senate race moved 15.9 points toward Democrats.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Wyoming’s one House seat

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Held by Republicans before the election. Chuck Gray, the Republican, won it, R+20.7.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the Senate race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the Senate race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

  1. Sweetwater County

    Moved 21.7 points toward Democrats: R+53.2 for president in 2024; Harriet Hageman, the Republican, carried it at R+31.5.

    11,042 votes counted, 16,569 cast in 2024.

  2. Albany County

    Moved 20.0 points toward Democrats: R+3.2 for president in 2024; James Byrd, the Democrat, carried it at D+16.9. The county changed sides.

    13,215 votes counted, 17,639 cast in 2024.

  3. Natrona County

    Moved 18.9 points toward Democrats: R+48.6 for president in 2024; Harriet Hageman, the Republican, carried it at R+29.7.

    22,065 votes counted, 33,591 cast in 2024.

  4. Laramie County

    Moved 18.1 points toward Democrats: R+32.4 for president in 2024; Harriet Hageman, the Republican, carried it at R+14.3.

    30,369 votes counted, 42,899 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Barely related across counties. On average, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.6 points more Democratic (r = 0.17).

0D+5D+10D+15D+20D+2510%30%50%70%% with a bachelor's degree →↑ moved toward Democrats from 2024

By place

Rural23 counties, 188,293 votes15.9 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

White non-Hispanic 85% or more16 counties, 103,282 votes13.5 pts → D
Every other county7 counties, 85,011 votes18.0 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Wyoming

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Compare

Across the 23 counties, the Senate race went R+30.3 and the governor's race R+53.6: the Senate margin ran 23.3 points more Democratic than the governor's. 2 counties were carried by different parties in the two.

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Points of difference between the Senate margin and the governor's in each county.

Sen. D, Gov. RSen. R, Gov. DR+80R+40R+4000D+40D+40D+80D+80same margin in both ↗Governor marginSenate margin
Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Senate Democrat did better than the governor Democrat; below it, worse.

56001carried by different parties

Senate
D+16.9Byrd against Hageman
Governor
R+38.9Casner against Barlow
Difference
D+55.7Byrd ran ahead
Votes
about 13,216
Most votes firstSen.Gov.Diff.
  • 56021R+14.3R+48.5D+34.2
  • 56025R+29.7R+52.7D+23.0
  • 56001D+16.9R+38.9D+55.7
  • 56013R+23.5R+54.1D+30.6
  • 56033R+33.9R+58.7D+24.8
  • 56029R+46.5R+55.4D+8.9
  • 56005R+63.3R+68.5D+5.1
  • 56037R+31.5R+49.5D+18.0
  • 56039D+46.4R+25.5D+71.9
  • 56023R+58.3R+59.9D+1.6
  • 56041R+50.8R+57.8D+7.1
  • 56015R+56.8R+59.4D+2.6
  • 56009R+61.0R+59.1R+1.8
  • 56007R+43.9R+58.3D+14.3
  • 56003R+60.5R+65.9D+5.4
  • 56035R+45.4R+66.6D+21.2
  • 56019R+54.3R+67.5D+13.2
  • 56031R+58.3R+55.2R+3.1
  • 56011R+71.9R+67.0R+4.8
  • 56043R+56.3R+64.9D+8.6
  • 56045R+67.7R+70.0D+2.3
  • 56017R+51.4R+61.7D+10.3
  • 56027R+72.9R+67.7R+5.2

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

Counts are Wyoming’s official state and county counts, published by the Wyoming Secretary of State, Statewide Candidates Unofficial Summary. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.