2026 results · stories
The stories in the count
Ten findings from the official counts. Each links to the page where its numbers live, and updates when the counts do.
01Redistricting
Seven states redrew their maps to add 15 Republican seats. They are on course to send 11 fewer Republicans than in 2024
Texas, Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Tennessee, Louisiana and Alabama enacted new congressional maps for 2026 that our redistricting tracker records as drawn to gain Republicans 15 seats.
Each redrawn map: the Republicans' share of its seats, 2024 on the old lines to 2026 02Overview
168,243 voters in six states stood between the Republicans and 50 Senate seats
Mississippi, Maine, Kansas, Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina: the Democratic seats closest to going the other way, each drawn as long as the votes it would have taken.
Votes to switch, seat by seat, end to end 03Overview
In races with both parties on the ballot, the House map leaned 1.5 points Republican
The 218th seat from the Democrats' end, Kentucky 6th District, went D+9.4; in the 415 races with both parties on the ballot, the House vote was D+10.9.
The national House vote against the 218th seat 04House
Republican members ran 3.3 points ahead of the open seats in their states
Where a Republican member was on the ballot, the district moved 3.3 points less toward the Democrats than the open seats in the same state, over 93 members.
Each district's move against its state's open seats 05Where the vote moved
Democratic candidates drew 98 votes for every 100 Harris won; Republicans drew 62 for every 100 Trump won
The vote fell most where Trump was strongest: 65 votes for every 100 of 2024's in finished counties Trump won by 50 points or more, 80 where the 2024 margin was within 10 points.
Each state: votes this year for every 100 cast for Trump and for Harris in 2024 06Where the vote moved
States Trump won by 20 or more swung 17.0 points toward the Democrats; states Harris won by 20 or more, 8.6
Inside states the order reverses: counties Trump won by 60 or more moved 3.4 points less than their own state, counties outside any metro or micropolitan area 3.0 points less, and central counties of metro areas 0.4 points more.
Each state's 2024 margin against its swing 07Where the vote moved
Democrats carried 25 metro areas Trump won in 2024
El Paso moved most, 32.8 points toward the Democrats, 8.4 more than Texas.
The eight largest metro areas, 2024 president to this year's top race 08Statewide offices
In 5 of 32 states, voters elected both parties statewide
South Carolina elected one Democrat statewide, Andrews for the Senate; the 7 other statewide races on the same ballots went the other way.
Each state's statewide races on one margin axis 09Race pages
In 2 of the 22 races where a third candidate drew 5% or more, the winner had less than half the vote: Marsha Blackburn for Tennessee governor (45.5%) and Kurt Alme for Montana’s Senate seat (48.3%)
In the other 20, the winner, or the leader while counting, had half the vote or more.
Each race: each candidate's share of the vote, a line at half 10Legislatures
Democrats lead for control of Pennsylvania’s Senate, which the Republicans held, 26–24. It would take 1,314 voters switching in 1 district to tie it, and 2,808 in 2 districts to hand it to the Republicans
19 chambers changed control or hold a thin majority as counted; switch their closest seats one at a time and watch the majority go.
Pennsylvania’s Senate: the seats nearest its middle