2026 results · the House
Democrats win the House, on course for about 259 seats
Democrats have won 246 seats, and our estimate favors them in 13 more. Republicans have won 150, and our estimate favors them in 23. 2 are headed to a runoff and 1 goes to Alaska’s ranked-choice rounds. Those are estimates of where the count finishes, not calls. It takes 218 seats for a majority. In the 415 contested seats counted, the House vote is D+10.9.
- 246 Democrats won
- 13 our estimate favors Democrats
- 3 runoff, ranked choice or other
- 23 our estimate favors Republicans
- 150 Republicans won
Loading the 435 districts.
Each hexagon is one district, all the same size, placed close to where it is. States are outlined.
Still counting, closest first
Show all 36
3 more go to a runoff or ranked-choice rounds: AK-AL, LA-05 and LA-06.
Every House seat, sortable, against 2024 →
Point at a district, tap one, or find one by name for its count.
Net seats by state
Democrats are up 46 on the leads: seats they won or lead, against who held each seat before. Counting only the races we have called, it is +41 D seats called (42 flips to D, 1 to R). A seat with no count yet, or headed to a runoff, counts for neither side.
- One square per seat, before the election and now
- Won
- Leading the count
- Changing party
- No count yet
- North Carolina, 14 seats. Before the election: 4 Democratic, 10 Republican. Now, won or leading: 10 Democratic, 4 Republican. Net change: +6 D; 4 still counting.North Carolina4 still counting · new district lines
- California, 52 seats. Before the election: 43 Democratic, 9 Republican. Now, won or leading: 48 Democratic, 4 Republican. Net change: +5 D; 5 still counting.California5 still counting · new district lines
- Pennsylvania, 17 seats. Before the election: 7 Democratic, 10 Republican. Now, won or leading: 11 Democratic, 6 Republican. Net change: +4 D.Pennsylvania
- Colorado, 8 seats. Before the election: 4 Democratic, 4 Republican. Now, won or leading: 7 Democratic, 1 Republican. Net change: +3 D; 3 still counting.Colorado3 still counting
- Iowa, 4 seats. Before the election: 4 Republican. Now, won or leading: 3 Democratic, 1 Republican. Net change: +3 D.Iowa
- Michigan, 13 seats. Before the election: 6 Democratic, 7 Republican. Now, won or leading: 9 Democratic, 4 Republican. Net change: +3 D; 1 still counting.Michigan1 still counting
- Ohio, 15 seats. Before the election: 5 Democratic, 10 Republican. Now, won or leading: 8 Democratic, 7 Republican. Net change: +3 D.Ohionew district lines
- Arizona, 9 seats. Before the election: 3 Democratic, 6 Republican. Now, won or leading: 5 Democratic, 4 Republican. Net change: +2 D; 2 still counting.Arizona2 still counting
- New Jersey, 12 seats. Before the election: 9 Democratic, 3 Republican. Now, won or leading: 11 Democratic, 1 Republican. Net change: +2 D.New Jersey
- New York, 26 seats. Before the election: 18 Democratic, 8 Republican. Now, won or leading: 20 Democratic, 6 Republican. Net change: +2 D; 3 still counting.New York3 still counting
- Virginia, 11 seats. Before the election: 6 Democratic, 5 Republican. Now, won or leading: 8 Democratic, 3 Republican. Net change: +2 D.Virginia
- Wisconsin, 8 seats. Before the election: 2 Democratic, 6 Republican. Now, won or leading: 4 Democratic, 4 Republican. Net change: +2 D.Wisconsin
- Maine, 2 seats. Before the election: 2 Democratic. Now, won or leading: 1 Democratic, 1 Republican. Net change: +1 R; 1 still counting.Maine1 still counting
In a state with new district lines this year, each seat’s “before” is the party that held the district with the same number, so the state’s total before is its delegation as it stood. Its net change is real, but part of it can come from the new lines rather than the vote.
Every House seat, by the 2024 presidential vote
Each seat sits in its column by how its district voted for president in 2024, on this year’s lines. Democrats have won or lead in 41 of the 217 districts Trump carried by 5 points or more, 30 of them held by Republicans before. Republicans have won or lead in 0 of the 182 that Harris carried by 5 or more.
- D+8.0 Won
- D+1.2 Leading the count
- D+3.4R+0.6 Changing party
- No count yet
- est. D Not called: the side our estimate favors
- 92% Share of the expected vote counted
Harris +15 or more
130 seats · D 130
Changing party: 1 to D
- UT-01: Democrat won, D+43.9; seat changes party from R; 98% counted
- CA-11: Democrat leads the count, D+8.1; ahead by 21,313 votes; our estimate favors the Democrat, >99% chance
- CA-14: Democrat won, D+15.1; 81% counted
- CA-29: Democrat won, D+16.2; 95% counted
- CA-37: Democrat won, D+22.7; 98% counted
- CA-34: Democrat won, D+22.7; 98% counted
- CA-50: Democrat won, D+23.7; 88% counted
- CA-26: Democrat won, D+23.9; 87% counted
- MI-11: Democrat won, D+24.0; 97% counted
- MD-02: Democrat won, D+25.6; 91% counted
- NY-25: Democrat won, D+26.0; 98% counted
- MA-06: Democrat won, D+26.8; 98% counted
Harris +5 to 15
52 seats · D 52
Changing party: 4 to D
- CA-01: Democrat won, D+10.5; seat changes party from R; 74% counted
- CA-03: Democrat won, D+15.9; seat changes party from R; 82% counted
- NY-22: Democrat won, D+16.8; seat changes party from R; 98% counted
- CA-41: Democrat won, D+34.4; seat changes party from R; 97% counted
- CA-04: Democrat leads the count, D+3.1; ahead by 4,365 votes; our estimate favors the Democrat, 81% chance
- OR-05: Democrat won, D+10.6; 93% counted
- OR-04: Democrat won, D+10.9; 96% counted
- CA-07: Democrat won, D+11.3; 73% counted
- WA-08: Democrat won, D+12.6; 92% counted
- MN-02: Democrat won, D+14.3; 97% counted
- CA-47: Democrat won, D+15.1; 97% counted
- CA-49: Democrat won, D+15.6; 89% counted
Within 5 points
36 seats · D 36
Changing party: 14 to D
- MI-07: Democrat won, D+3.3; seat changes party from R; 97% counted
- WI-01: Democrat won, D+3.9; seat changes party from R; 93% counted
- PA-01: Democrat won, D+5.5; seat changes party from R; 97% counted
- NY-17: Democrat won, D+6.0; seat changes party from R; 98% counted
- AZ-01: Democrat won, D+6.9; seat changes party from R; 98% counted
- IA-03: Democrat won, D+7.3; seat changes party from R; 97% counted
- AZ-06: Democrat won, D+8.0; seat changes party from R; 98% counted
- VA-02: Democrat won, D+8.5; seat changes party from R; 98% counted
- PA-07: Democrat won, D+12.2; seat changes party from R; 93% counted
- CO-08: Democrat won, D+14.7; seat changes party from R; 98% counted
- NE-02: Democrat won, D+15.9; seat changes party from R; 98% counted
- NJ-07: Democrat won, D+16.2; seat changes party from R; 98% counted
Trump +5 to 15
51 seats · D 31 · R 19 · 1 open
Changing party: 22 to D, 1 to R
- MN-01: Democrat leads the count, D+0.1; seat changes party from R; ahead by 322 votes
- SC-01: Democrat leads the count, D+1.0; seat changes party from R; 99% counted; ahead by 3,352 votes; our estimate favors the Democrat, >99% chance
- OH-10: Democrat won, D+1.6; seat changes party from R; 98% counted
- ME-02: Republican leads the count, R+1.6; seat changes party from D; ahead by 5,505 votes
- MI-04: Democrat leads the count, D+1.8; seat changes party from R; ahead by 6,711 votes
- NC-14: Democrat won, D+2.2; seat changes party from R; 94% counted
- VA-01: Democrat won, D+2.6; seat changes party from R; 98% counted
- NJ-02: Democrat won, D+2.7; seat changes party from R; 97% counted
- MT-01: Democrat won, D+3.5; seat changes party from R; 96% counted
- IA-02: Democrat won, D+4.0; seat changes party from R; 97% counted
- CO-05: Democrat leads the count, D+4.7; seat changes party from R; ahead by 14,524 votes
- MO-02: Democrat won, D+4.9; seat changes party from R; 96% counted
Trump +15 or more
166 seats · D 10 · R 154 · 2 open
Changing party: 8 to D, 2 to R
- NC-05: Democrat leads the count, D+<0.1; seat changes party from R; Hubbard +99 votes; our estimate favors the Democrat, 76% chance
- TN-04: Democrat leads the count, D+0.1; seat changes party from R; ahead by 280 votes
- CO-04: Democrat leads the count, D+0.8; seat changes party from R; ahead by 3,172 votes
- TN-09: Republican leads the count, R+1.1; seat changes party from D; ahead by 2,539 votes
- NC-09: Democrat won, D+2.2; seat changes party from R; 93% counted
- NC-06: Democrat won, D+2.3; seat changes party from R; 96% counted
- NC-13: Democrat won, D+2.4; seat changes party from R; 97% counted
- TX-32: Republican won, R+2.9; seat changes party from D; 98% counted
- IN-05: Democrat won, D+3.3; seat changes party from R; 95% counted
- TX-15: Democrat won, D+24.6; seat changes party from R; 96% counted
- FL-09: Democrat leads the count, D+0.5; ahead by 1,506 votes
- FL-26: Republican leads the count, R+0.7; ahead by 1,704 votes
In each column, the seats changing party come first, then the closest. The margin is the count’s; a seat not called also shows the side our estimate of the finish favors (“est. D”), its chance in the row’s description.
The seats in order
The Democrats’ 218th seat is Kentucky 6th District, won by 9.4 points. To lose the majority they would have to lose it and every closer seat they won or lead: 41 more. AK-AL, LA-05, LA-06 are headed to a runoff or ranked-choice rounds, shown apart in gray.
Each bar is one seat, as tall as its margin (full height at 40 points or more): solid when won, pale while the count goes on. The rule marks the 218th seat.
43 seats changing party, 2024 to 2026
- Texas 15thBobby PulidoD+24.6was R+17.6
- North Carolina 11thJamie AgerD+15.8was R+9.4
- California 22ndRandy VillegasD+33.2was R+1.8
- New Jersey 7thRebecca BennettD+16.2was R+1.2
- California 48thMarni von WilpertD+18.8was D+3.4
- Nebraska 2ndDenise PowellD+15.9was D+4.6
- New York 22ndJohn MannionD+16.8was D+7.5
- California 3rdAmi BeraD+15.9was D+10.3
- California 41stLinda SánchezD+34.4was D+14.3
- Utah 1stBen McAdamsD+43.9was D+23.7
Show all 43
- North Carolina 6thCyril JeffersonD+2.3was R+16.9
- Indiana 5thJ.D. FordD+3.3was R+16.7
- North Carolina 13thPaul BarringerD+2.4was R+16.3
- North Carolina 9thRichard N. Ojeda IID+2.2was R+15.6
- Kentucky 6thZach DemboD+9.4was R+14.9
- North Carolina 14thLakesha WomackD+2.2was R+14.8
- Texas 23rdKaty Padilla StoutD+8.2was R+14.6
- Nevada 2ndTeresa Benitez-ThompsonD+5.9was R+13.9
- New Jersey 2ndZack MullockD+2.7was R+12.4
- Montana 1stSam ForstagD+3.5was R+11.6
- Ohio 7thBrian PoindexterD+9.9was R+10.9
- Iowa 2ndLindsay JamesD+4.0was R+9.9
- Ohio 15thDon LeonardD+6.6was R+9.9
- Iowa 1stChristina BohannanD+9.2was R+8.4
- Pennsylvania 8thPaige CognettiD+8.9was R+8.3
- Missouri 2ndFred WellmanD+4.9was R+7.8
- Ohio 10thKristina KnickerbockerD+1.6was R+7.7
- Wisconsin 3rdRebecca CookeD+6.6was R+7.3
- Michigan 10thChristina HinesD+7.2was R+6.5
- Pennsylvania 10thJanelle StelsonD+10.1was R+5.2
- Virginia 1stShannon L. TaylorD+2.6was R+5.1
- Wisconsin 1stMitchell BermanD+3.9was R+4.5
- Iowa 3rdSarah Trone GarriottD+7.3was R+4.3
- Pennsylvania 7thBob BrooksD+12.2was R+3.2
- Arizona 1stAmish ShahD+6.9was R+3.1
- Colorado 8thManny RutinelD+14.7was R+2.6
- Michigan 7thWilliam LawrenceD+3.3was R+1.3
- Arizona 6thJoAnna MendozaD+8.0was R+0.7
- Virginia 2ndElaine G. LuriaD+8.5was R+0.7
- Pennsylvania 1stBob HarvieD+5.5was D+0.3
- New York 17thCait ConleyD+6.0was D+0.6
- California 1stMike McGuireD+10.5was D+12.3
- Texas 32ndJace YarbroughR+2.9was R+17.7
Republican members ran 3.3 points ahead of the open seats in their states
Where a Republican member was on the ballot, the district moved 3.3 points less toward the Democrats than the open seats in the same state did, on average over 93 members. Against each state’s Senate or governor race the difference is 4.7 points. No Democratic member lost to a Republican: of 180 on the ballot, none lost or trails one, and 2 trail another Democrat in California’s top-two. Of 176 Republican members, 28 lost to Democrats and 6 trail.
5 Republican members held seats that the swing of the open seats in their state would have turned: FL-04, GA-12, SC-02 (still counting), TN-08 and TX-24.
22 Republican members held seats that the swing of their state’s Senate or governor race would have turned, 13 of them in Texas, where the Senate race moved 25.8 points toward the Democrats and the open House seats 19.4. The count leans on that one race.
The 342 races as a table
Each dot is a House race between a Democrat and a Republican, called or at least 90% counted, where the two took 90% of the vote or more, in a state with a Senate or governor race between them: 342 races. A district’s move is its 2026 margin minus its 2024 presidential margin on this year’s lines; zero is moving as far as the yardstick did, and dots beyond 20 points sit at the edge. Against open seats, only states with an open seat are drawn, and a seat counts as held only where the state had 2 or more. No yardstick in Idaho, Indiana, Missouri, Mississippi, Montana, North Dakota, Utah, Vermont, Washington: Vermont’s governor race moved 38.4 points toward the Republicans and would measure one candidate; the others had no race between the two parties statewide. Members are the ones the race files mark; in states with new lines a member may be running on new ground.