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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Missouri · Missouri 4th District

Mark Alford, the Republican, wins re-election in Missouri's 4th District

Donald Trump carried the district by 41.7 points in 2024; this year's count is a 15.8-point move toward the Democrats.

Missouri 4th District: votes counted for each candidate
CandidateVotesShareShare of the vote
Mark AlfordRepublican, incumbent154,24361.5%
Jordan HerreraDemocrat89,18835.6%
Thomas HolbrookLibertarian7,2892.9%

Called by Call the Map, Nov 3, 9:30 PM EST · 86% counted.

About 86% of the expected vote counted250,720 votesCount last changed Nov 7, 4:58 PM EST · checked Nov 7, 5:07 PM ESTSource: the official state and county counts, gathered by civicAPI

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About the seat

Missouri's 4th District takes in all or part of 24 counties. The Republicans held it before this election. Its voters went R+41.7 for president in 2024. Its move from that vote, 15.8 points toward the Democrats, ranks 4 of 8 among the state's districts, counting from the largest move toward the Democrats.

2024 president
R+41.7
2024 House race, same lines
R+45.8
Move from 2024, rank in state
4 of 8
  1. Cass County17%
  2. Jackson County12%
  3. Boone County10%
  4. Johnson County6%
  5. Camden County5%
  6. Pettis County5%
  7. Lafayette County5%
  8. Polk County4%
  9. 16 more36%

Shares are of the votes counted this year. The 2024 House figure is the same district, on the same lines.

What the count shows

Added together, the 24 counties compared moved 15.7 points toward the Democrats from the 2024 presidential vote.

The counties compared cast 66% as many votes as in 2024, from 75% in Boone County to 58% in Pulaski County.

Saline County moved most: R+39.9 for president in 2024, R+19.9 this year

The 10 counties with the largest moves from the 2024 presidential vote, among those with 2,000 or more votes for president in 2024 and a quarter of that counted, and at least half a percent of the state's 2024 vote. Each line runs from the 2024 margin to this year’s.

CountyR+70EvenD+70Move
Saline County5,908 votes20.0 pts → D
Boone County26,133 votes19.0 pts → D
Jackson County29,563 votes18.0 pts → D
Cass County41,548 votes17.4 pts → D
Howard County3,354 votes17.2 pts → D
Johnson County15,907 votes15.8 pts → D
Pettis County11,829 votes15.8 pts → D
Bates County5,324 votes15.6 pts → D
Pulaski County9,165 votes15.1 pts → D
Lafayette County11,631 votes14.4 pts → D

2024 president 2026

Cass County added 13,099 net votes for Herrera against the 2024 margin, 14% of the district's change

Across the 24 counties compared, the margin moved by 93,133 votes toward Herrera: this year’s lead in votes against the 2024 presidential lead in votes, county by county. The figure counts voters who changed sides and differences in who turned out alike; the count cannot tell them apart.

  1. Cass County+13,099 Herrera
  2. Jackson County+8,138 Herrera
  3. Camden County+5,919 Herrera
  4. Johnson County+5,625 Herrera
  5. Pettis County+5,367 Herrera
  6. Laclede County+5,294 Herrera
  7. Pulaski County+4,647 Herrera
  8. Boone County+4,493 Herrera

The seat that changed party

won leads, still counting changed party. Margins are the leader’s share minus the runner-up’s, in points.

Every count on this page is the official count, from the state and its counties. Counts are unofficial until the state certifies them. The 2024 comparison is the presidential vote, Kamala Harris against Donald Trump, on the same ground. Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican, in points of all votes.