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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Texas · Texas 31st District

John Carter, the Republican, wins re-election in Texas's 31st District

Donald Trump carried the district by 21.6 points in 2024; this year's count is a 12.6-point move toward the Democrats.

Texas 31st District: votes counted for each candidate
CandidateVotesShareShare of the vote
John CarterRepublican, incumbent164,01253.8%
Justin EarlyDemocrat136,73444.8%
Greg StokerOther party4,2271.4%

Called by Call the Map, Nov 4, 12:20 AM EST · 98% counted.

About 98% of the expected vote counted304,973 votesCount last changed Nov 4, 5:48 PM EST · checked Nov 7, 5:11 PM ESTSource: Texas Secretary of State

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About the seat

Texas's 31st District takes in all or part of 7 counties. The Republicans held it before this election. Its voters went R+21.6 for president in 2024. Its move from that vote, 12.6 points toward the Democrats, ranks 32 of 38 among the state's districts, counting from the largest move toward the Democrats.

2024 president
R+21.6
Move from 2024, rank in state
32 of 38
  1. Williamson County50%
  2. Bell County32%
  3. Burnet County6%
  4. Coryell County6%
  5. Lampasas County3%
  6. Hamilton County1%
  7. Mills County1%

Shares are of the votes counted this year. The district was redrawn for 2026 or had no contest in 2024, so no 2024 House race compares like for like.

What the count shows

Added together, the 7 counties compared moved 12.2 points toward the Democrats from the 2024 presidential vote.

The counties compared cast 87% as many votes as in 2024, from 94% in Burnet County to 76% in Mills County.

Williamson County moved most: R+14.3 for president in 2024, R+1.6 this year

The 7 counties with the largest moves from the 2024 presidential vote, among those with 2,000 or more votes for president in 2024 and a quarter of that counted. Each line runs from the 2024 margin to this year’s.

CountyR+80EvenD+80Move
Williamson County152,663 votes12.7 pts → D
Coryell County18,822 votes12.6 pts → D
Bell County99,095 votes12.2 pts → D
Burnet County19,639 votes10.0 pts → D
Lampasas County9,095 votes6.6 pts → D
Mills County2,125 votes4.5 pts → D
Hamilton County3,534 votes3.4 pts → D

2024 president 2026

Williamson County added 21,950 net votes for Early against the 2024 margin, 47% of the district's change

Across the 7 counties compared, the margin moved by 47,048 votes toward Early: this year’s lead in votes against the 2024 presidential lead in votes, county by county. The figure counts voters who changed sides and differences in who turned out alike; the count cannot tell them apart.

  1. Williamson County+21,950 Early
  2. Bell County+14,424 Early
  3. Coryell County+4,560 Early
  4. Burnet County+2,670 Early
  5. Lampasas County+2,003 Early
  6. Hamilton County+835 Early
  7. Mills County+606 Early

Texas’s ballot

All of Texas’s resultsThe state legislature

The seats that changed party

StatewideDemocrats won all 8 of Texas's statewide races.

  1. U.S. SenateJames TalaricoD+12.1Flip
  2. GovernorGina HinojosaD+7.1Flip
  3. Attorney GeneralNathan JohnsonD+6.4Flip
  4. Commissioner of AgricultureClayton TuckerD+4.7
  5. Comptroller of Public AccountsSarah EckhardtD+5.1
  6. Commissioner of the General Land OfficeBenjamin FloresD+4.5
  7. Lieutenant GovernorVikki GoodwinD+6.1
  8. Railroad CommissionerJon RosenthalD+7.0

U.S. HouseBefore the election R 25–13, now R 24–14

  1. R+38.1Moran
  2. R+2.0Toth
  3. R+5.5Self
  4. R+12.1Fallon
  5. R+2.9Gooden
  6. R+4.3Ellzey
  7. D+43.3Fletcher
  8. R+6.4Steinmann
  9. D+15.1Gutierrez
  10. R+7.5Gober
  11. R+19.0Pfluger
  12. R+6.2Goldman
  13. R+30.5Jackson
  14. R+8.0Weber
  15. D+24.6Pulido
  16. D+41.5Escobar
  17. R+7.1Sessions
  18. D+72.1Menefee
  19. R+39.0Sell
  20. D+55.2Castro
  21. R+9.0Teixeira
  22. R+3.6Nehls
  23. D+8.2Stout
  24. R+6.9Duyne
  25. R+7.5Williams
  26. R+10.4Gill
  27. R+2.3Cloud
  28. D+36.1Cuellar
  29. D+59.9Garcia
  30. D+65.3Haynes
  31. R+9.0Carter
  32. R+2.9Yarbrough
  33. D+57.1Allred
  34. D+16.0Gonzalez
  35. D+10.9Garcia
  36. R+7.1Babin
  37. D+67.5Casar
  38. R+4.2Bonck

won leads, still counting changed party. Margins are the leader’s share minus the runner-up’s, in points.

Every count on this page is the official count published by the Texas Secretary of State. Counts are unofficial until the state certifies them. The 2024 comparison is the presidential vote, Kamala Harris against Donald Trump, on the same ground. Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican, in points of all votes.