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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Florida · Florida 16th District

Sydney Gruters, the Republican, holds Florida's 16th District for the Republicans

Donald Trump carried the district by 13.5 points in 2024; this year's count is a 9.2-point move toward the Democrats.

Florida 16th District: votes counted for each candidate
CandidateVotesShareShare of the vote
Sydney GrutersRepublican175,65051.2%
Kelly KirschnerDemocrat161,11347.0%
Mark DavisIndependent6,2821.8%

Called by Call the Map, Nov 3, 8:00 PM EST · 98% counted.

About 98% of the expected vote counted343,045 votesCount last changed Nov 7, 4:59 PM ESTSource: Florida Division of Elections

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About the seat

Florida's 16th District takes in all or part of 6 counties. The Republicans held it before this election. Its voters went R+13.5 for president in 2024. Its move from that vote, 9.2 points toward the Democrats, ranks 20 of 27 among the state's districts, counting from the largest move toward the Democrats.

2024 president
R+13.5
2024 House vote on these lines
R+15.1
Move from 2024, rank in state
20 of 27
  1. Manatee County53%
  2. Pinellas County32%
  3. Sarasota County10%
  4. DeSoto County3%
  5. Hardee County2%
  6. Polk County1%

Shares are of the votes counted this year. The district was redrawn for 2026: its 2024 House figure is that year's House vote re-added onto the new lines precinct by precinct, an estimate.

What the count shows

Added together, the 6 counties compared moved 9.1 points toward the Democrats from the 2024 presidential vote.

The counties compared cast 79% as many votes as in 2024, from 100% in Polk County to 71% in DeSoto County.

Hardee County moved most: R+55.3 for president in 2024, R+34.4 this year

The 6 counties with the largest moves from the 2024 presidential vote, among those with 2,000 or more votes for president in 2024 and a quarter of that counted. Each line runs from the 2024 margin to this year’s.

CountyR+60EvenD+60Move
Hardee County5,987 votes20.9 pts → D
DeSoto County9,047 votes16.9 pts → D
Polk County3,504 votes16.9 pts → D
Pinellas County109,973 votes9.8 pts → D
Manatee County181,571 votes8.4 pts → D
Sarasota County32,963 votes5.6 pts → D

2024 president 2026

Manatee County added 27,105 net votes for Kirschner against the 2024 margin, 62% of the district's change

Across the 6 counties compared, the margin moved by 43,451 votes toward Kirschner: this year’s lead in votes against the 2024 presidential lead in votes, county by county. The figure counts voters who changed sides and differences in who turned out alike; the count cannot tell them apart.

  1. Manatee County+27,105 Kirschner
  2. Pinellas County+6,661 Kirschner
  3. Sarasota County+3,483 Kirschner
  4. DeSoto County+3,078 Kirschner
  5. Hardee County+2,525 Kirschner
  6. Polk County+599 Kirschner

won leads, still counting changed party. Margins are the leader’s share minus the runner-up’s, in points.

Every count on this page is the official count published by the Florida Division of Elections. Counts are unofficial until the state certifies them. The 2024 comparison is the presidential vote, Kamala Harris against Donald Trump, on the same ground. Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican, in points of all votes.