2026 results · Florida

Florida’s governor's race is within 1.3 points

Donalds, the Republican, leads the governor's race by 1.3 points, with the count still going, in a state Donald Trump carried by 13.1 points in 2024.

In the House, every one of the 27 contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 11.8 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Florida’s 28 House seats

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Before8–20

20268–20

Solid: won; paler: leading, still counting. The tick marks a majority (15 of 28).

Democrats lost or trail in 14 seats by under 10 points: FL-27 R+0.4*, FL-07 R+0.5*, FL-26 R+0.7*, FL-13 R+0.8*, FL-04 R+2.1, FL-18 R+3.6, FL-02 R+4.2, FL-16 R+4.2 and 6 more. A majority took 15 of 28; they held 8, and the seven closest would have made it.

The seat that decided the majority: FL-02, R+4.2, a district that voted R+17.9 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin (the expected finish where still counting, marked *). Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 15 seats needed for a majority.

One seat had two Democrats on the ballot, so no party margin to plot: FL-10.

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the governor's race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the governor's race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

Osceola County
Moved 19.2 points toward Democrats: R+1.5 for president in 2024; Jolly, the Democrat, carried it at D+17.8. The county changed sides.
131,547 votes counted, 172,776 cast in 2024.
Miami-Dade County
Moved 18.5 points toward Democrats: R+11.4 for president in 2024; Jolly, the Democrat, carried it at D+7.0. The county changed sides.
785,060 votes counted, 1,094,093 cast in 2024.
Orange County
Moved 15.9 points toward Democrats: D+13.6 for president in 2024; Jolly, the Democrat, carried it at D+29.5.
471,251 votes counted, 607,191 cast in 2024.
Polk County
Moved 15.7 points toward Democrats: R+20.7 for president in 2024; Donalds, the Republican, carried it at R+4.9.
257,251 votes counted, 348,922 cast in 2024.

Only Sumter County moved the other way, toward Republicans.

Who lives where it moved

Barely related across counties. On average, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.6 points more Democratic (r = 0.10).

By place

Urban8 counties, 3,694,609 votes14.4 pts → D

Suburban30 counties, 4,264,707 votes9.7 pts → D

Rural29 counties, 310,908 votes10.4 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

Black residents 30% or more5 counties, 161,379 votes12.3 pts → D

Hispanic residents 30% or more6 counties, 2,065,273 votes17.3 pts → D

White non-Hispanic 85% or more2 counties, 82,652 votes5.7 pts → D

Every other county54 counties, 5,960,920 votes10.1 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Florida

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

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Across the 67 counties, the Senate race went R+2.9 and the governor's race R+1.3: the Senate margin ran 1.6 points more Republican than the governor's. Every county was carried by the same party in both.

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Points of difference between the Senate margin and the governor's in each county.

Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Senate Democrat did better than the governor Democrat; below it, worse.

12086Democratic in both

Senate: D+7.1Nixon against Moody
Governor: D+7.0Jolly against Donalds
Difference: D+0.1Nixon ran ahead
Votes: about 784,894

Most votes firstSen.Gov.Diff.

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

Florida’s legislature

Senate21 of 40 seats on the ballotBefore12–271 otherLeaders12–252 seats have no votes counted yet (gray). 1 seat is led by another party than held it. Republicans keep control.Every district, mapped →House120 of 120 seats on the ballotBefore34–842 vacantLeaders32–5929 seats have no votes counted yet (gray). 16 seats are led by another party than held them. Control is not settled.Every district, mapped →

Counts are Florida’s official state and county counts, published by the Florida Division of Elections. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

Florida’s 28 House seats

Close up: the four counties that moved most

Osceola County

Miami-Dade County

Orange County

Polk County