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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Florida · Florida 15th District

Laurel Lee, the Republican, wins re-election in Florida's 15th District

Donald Trump carried the district by 19.6 points in 2024; this year's count is a 11.0-point move toward the Democrats.

Florida 15th District: votes counted for each candidate
CandidateVotesShareShare of the vote
Laurel LeeRepublican, incumbent163,37254.3%
Robert PeopleDemocrat137,53545.7%
Angie BooneOther party26under 0.1%

Called by Call the Map, Nov 4, 10:46 AM EST · 98% counted.

About 98% of the expected vote counted300,933 votesCount last changed Nov 7, 4:59 PM ESTSource: Florida Division of Elections

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About the seat

Florida's 15th District takes in all or part of 4 counties. The Republicans held it before this election. Its voters went R+19.6 for president in 2024. Its move from that vote, 11.0 points toward the Democrats, ranks 15 of 27 among the state's districts, counting from the largest move toward the Democrats.

2024 president
R+19.6
2024 House vote on these lines
R+23.6
Move from 2024, rank in state
15 of 27
  1. Hernando County26%
  2. Hillsborough County25%
  3. Citrus County25%
  4. Pasco County23%

Shares are of the votes counted this year. The district was redrawn for 2026: its 2024 House figure is that year's House vote re-added onto the new lines precinct by precinct, an estimate.

What the count shows

Added together, the 4 counties compared moved 11.0 points toward the Democrats from the 2024 presidential vote.

The counties compared cast 74% as many votes as in 2024, from 77% in Hillsborough County to 73% in Hernando County.

Pasco County moved most: R+20.0 for president in 2024, R+4.1 this year

The 4 counties with the largest moves from the 2024 presidential vote, among those with 2,000 or more votes for president in 2024 and a quarter of that counted. Each line runs from the 2024 margin to this year’s.

CountyR+50EvenD+50Move
Pasco County70,576 votes15.9 pts → D
Hillsborough County76,211 votes15.7 pts → D
Hernando County79,544 votes8.6 pts → D
Citrus County74,602 votes2.7 pts → D

2024 president 2026

Hernando County added 17,280 net votes for People against the 2024 margin, 32% of the district's change

Across the 4 counties compared, the margin moved by 53,326 votes toward People: this year’s lead in votes against the 2024 presidential lead in votes, county by county. The figure counts voters who changed sides and differences in who turned out alike; the count cannot tell them apart.

  1. Hernando County+17,280 People
  2. Pasco County+16,328 People
  3. Citrus County+13,480 People
  4. Hillsborough County+6,238 People

Florida’s ballot

All of Florida’s resultsThe state legislature

StatewideRepublicans won 3 of Florida's 4 statewide races and lead 1 more.

  1. U.S. SenateAshley MoodyR+2.9
  2. GovernorDonaldsR+1.3Leads
  3. Attorney GeneralJames UthmeierR+1.8
  4. Commissioner of AgricultureWilton SimpsonR+2.1

U.S. HouseBefore the election R 20–8, now R 20–8, counting the leaders in 6 uncalled seats

  1. R+26.9Patronis
  2. R+4.2Rogers
  3. R+12.1Cammack
  4. R+2.1Bean
  5. R+12.8Rutherford
  6. R+19.0Fine
  7. R+0.5Elijah
  8. R+6.3Haridopolos
  9. D+0.5Soto
  10. Won unopposedFrost
  11. R+6.9Strada
  12. R+6.8Bilirakis
  13. R+0.8Luna
  14. D+5.4Castor
  15. R+8.6Lee
  16. R+4.2Gruters
  17. R+18.3Steube
  18. R+3.6Franklin
  19. R+23.5Schwartzel
  20. D+52.6Schultz
  21. R+9.1Mast
  22. D+3.8Dandiya
  23. D+31.3Frankel
  24. D+61.3Gilbert
  25. D+4.7Moskowitz
  26. R+0.7Diaz-Balart
  27. Salazar +1,090 votesSalazar
  28. R+7.2Gimenez

won leads, still counting changed party. Margins are the leader’s share minus the runner-up’s, in points.

Every count on this page is the official count published by the Florida Division of Elections. Counts are unofficial until the state certifies them. The 2024 comparison is the presidential vote, Kamala Harris against Donald Trump, on the same ground. Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican, in points of all votes.