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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Wisconsin

Democrats came within 1 seat of a majority of Wisconsin’s House delegation

In the House, every one of the seven contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 8.4 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Wisconsin’s eight House seats

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Before2–6
20264–4

Solid: won. The tick marks a majority (5 of 8). 2 seats change party: WI-03, WI-01.

Democrats lost 2 seats by under 10 points: WI-08 R+7.8, WI-06 R+9.4. A majority took 5 of 8; they held 4, and the closest would have made it.

The seat that decided the majority: WI-08, R+7.8, a district that voted R+16.1 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin. Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 5 seats needed for a majority.

One seat had two Democrats on the ballot, so no party margin to plot: WI-02.

  1. WI-04Gwen MooreD+62.5← 11.3
  2. WI-03Rebecca CookeFlipD+6.6← 14.0
  3. WI-01Mitchell BermanFlipD+3.9← 8.4
  4. WI-08Tony WiedR+7.8← 8.2
  5. WI-06Glenn GrothmanR+9.4← 6.8
  6. WI-07Michael AlfonsoR+13.8← 8.5
  7. WI-05Scott FitzgeraldR+18.1← 3.8

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the governor's race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the governor's race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

  1. Milwaukee County

    Moved 13.5 points toward Democrats: D+38.5 for president in 2024; David Crowley, the Democrat, carried it at D+52.0.

    356,762 votes counted, 462,766 cast in 2024.

  2. Eau Claire County

    Moved 12.5 points toward Democrats: D+10.6 for president in 2024; David Crowley, the Democrat, carried it at D+23.0.

    50,942 votes counted, 63,003 cast in 2024.

  3. Kenosha County

    Moved 12.0 points toward Democrats: R+6.2 for president in 2024; David Crowley, the Democrat, carried it at D+5.7. The county changed sides.

    66,960 votes counted, 90,472 cast in 2024.

  4. La Crosse County

    Moved 12.0 points toward Democrats: D+9.4 for president in 2024; David Crowley, the Democrat, carried it at D+21.3.

    57,281 votes counted, 72,242 cast in 2024.

Only Menominee County moved the other way, toward Republicans.

Who lives where it moved

Barely related across counties. On average, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.4 points more Democratic (r = 0.12).

R+50D+5D+10D+1510%20%30%40%50%60%% with a bachelor's degree →↑ moved toward Democrats from 2024

By place

Urban1 county, 356,762 votes13.5 pts → D
Suburban20 counties, 1,572,644 votes8.9 pts → D
Rural51 counties, 739,402 votes6.6 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

White non-Hispanic 85% or more58 counties, 1,528,434 votes6.7 pts → D
Every other county14 counties, 1,140,374 votes11.4 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Wisconsin

Senate and governor

GovernorDavid Crowley Dover Tom Tiffany (R)D+8.0R+0.98.9 pts → Dwon

House · Changes first, then the closest

District 1FlipMitchell Berman Dover Bryan Steil (R)D+3.9R+4.58.4 pts → DwonDistrict 3FlipRebecca Cooke Dover Derrick Van Orden (R)D+6.6R+7.314.0 pts → DwonDistrict 8Tony Wied Rover Rick Crosson (D)R+7.8R+16.18.2 pts → DwonDistrict 6Glenn Grothman Rover Brad Smith (D)R+9.4R+16.36.8 pts → DwonDistrict 7Michael Alfonso Rover Fred Clark (D)R+13.8R+22.38.5 pts → Dwon

Other statewide offices

TreasurerFlipYee Xiong Dover John Leiber (R)D+3.6R+0.94.4 pts → DwonSecretary of StateJoCasta Zamarripa Dover Jay Schroeder (R)D+5.0R+0.95.9 pts → DwonAttorney GeneralJosh Kaul Dover Eric Toney (R)D+9.3R+0.910.1 pts → Dwon

Ballot measures

Question 3: Prohibit government discrimination or preferential treatment56.5% yespassing
Question 1: Prohibit partial veto to create or increase taxes or fees50.7% yespassing
Question 2: Prohibit closing places of worship during emergencies48.1% yesfailing

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Compare

Across the 41 counties that lie wholly in one district, the governor's race went R+9.2 and the House races R+7.9: the governor's margin ran 1.4 points more Republican than the House margin. 3 counties were carried by different parties in the two.

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Points of difference between the Governor margin and the House margin in each county.

Gov. D, House RGov. R, House DR+60R+30R+3000D+30D+30D+60D+60same margin in both ↗House marginGovernor margin
Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Governor Democrat did better than the House Democrat; below it, worse.

55101carried by different parties

Governor
D+2.2Crowley against Tiffany
House
R+0.9the district's race
Difference
D+3.1Crowley ran ahead
Votes
about 82,374
Most votes firstGov.HouseDiff.
  • 55009D+2.2D+2.0D+0.1
  • 55087R+0.7R+0.8D+0.1
  • 55101D+2.2R+0.9D+3.1
  • 55131R+33.4R+34.3D+0.9
  • 55059D+5.7D+4.0D+1.7
  • 55063D+21.3D+24.7R+3.4
  • 55039R+24.5R+23.7R+0.7
  • 55095R+25.8R+24.8R+0.9
  • 55005R+25.1R+21.7R+3.4
  • 55085R+14.9R+9.2R+5.8
  • 55093R+10.0R+3.7R+6.2
  • 55031D+16.2D+19.4R+3.2
  • 55083R+37.8R+37.9D+0.1
  • 55075R+32.2R+23.7R+8.5
  • 55029D+5.4D+6.1R+0.8
  • 55115R+30.8R+30.7R+0.1
  • 55125R+22.9R+18.1R+4.8
  • 55123D+0.4D+5.7R+5.4
  • 55069R+21.8R+14.9R+7.0
  • 55121R+11.4R+6.8R+4.7
  • 55019R+33.9R+27.4R+6.5
  • 55001R+23.1R+19.6R+3.5
  • 55061R+28.9R+28.3R+0.6
  • 55007D+19.5D+23.3R+3.8
  • 55113R+11.6R+8.3R+3.3
  • 55067R+31.3R+27.1R+4.2
  • 55129R+23.1R+20.0R+3.1
  • 55013R+29.0R+24.2R+4.8
  • 55047R+32.0R+31.5R+0.5
  • 55119R+45.2R+40.1R+5.1
  • 55077R+27.5R+25.3R+2.2
  • 55023R+1.9D+3.0R+4.9
  • 55099R+27.6R+20.8R+6.8
  • 55103R+4.4D+1.1R+5.5
  • 55003D+14.4D+18.3R+3.9
  • 55107R+33.6R+28.3R+5.3
  • 55011R+25.3R+18.9R+6.3
  • 55091R+25.5R+18.6R+6.9
  • 55051R+23.4R+17.4R+6.0
  • 55037R+45.2R+41.3R+3.9
  • 55078D+57.9D+58.2R+0.3

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. The House is compared only in counties that lie wholly inside one congressional district, so the county's House margin is one race's margin; a county divided between districts, or in a district without a Democrat against a Republican, is left out. 31 counties are left out. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

Wisconsin’s legislature

Senate17 of 33 seats on the ballotBefore15–18Leaders17–151 seat has no votes counted yet (gray). 3 seats are led by another party than held them. Control moves to the Democrats.Every district, mapped →Assembly99 of 99 seats on the ballotBefore45–54Leaders53–468 seats are led by another party than held them. Control moves to the Democrats.Every district, mapped →

Counts are Wisconsin’s official state and county counts. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.