2026 results · Kentucky · Kentucky 2nd District
Brett Guthrie, the Republican, leads in the race for Kentucky's 2nd District
Donald Trump carried the district by 40.9 points in 2024; this year's count is a 13.2-point move toward the Democrats.
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Share of the vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brett GuthrieRepublican, incumbent | 145,139 | 62.8% | |
| Megan WingfieldDemocrat | 81,111 | 35.1% | |
| Thomas A. LoeckenIndependent | 4,807 | 2.1% |
Called by Call the Map, Nov 3, 8:28 PM EST · 91% counted.
About 91% of the expected vote counted231,057 votesCount last changed Nov 7, 1:07 PM EST · checked Nov 7, 5:02 PM ESTSource: the official state and county counts, gathered by civicAPI
The map
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About the seat
Kentucky's 2nd District takes in all or part of 20 counties. The Republicans held it before this election. Its voters went R+40.9 for president in 2024. Its move from that vote, 13.2 points toward the Democrats, ranks 5 of 6 among the state's districts, counting from the largest move toward the Democrats.
- 2024 president
- R+40.9
- 2024 House race, same lines
- R+46.2
- Move from 2024, rank in state
- 5 of 6
- Warren County16%
- Hardin County14%
- Daviess County14%
- Bullitt County12%
- Jefferson County7%
- Barren County5%
- Meade County4%
- Muhlenberg County4%
- 12 more24%
Shares are of the votes counted this year. The 2024 House figure is the same district, on the same lines.
What the count shows
Added together, the 20 counties compared moved 13.1 points toward the Democrats from the 2024 presidential vote.
The counties compared cast 66% as many votes as in 2024, from 79% in Jefferson County to 57% in Edmonson County.
Muhlenberg County moved most: R+53.6 for president in 2024, R+37.5 this year
The 10 counties with the largest moves from the 2024 presidential vote, among those with 2,000 or more votes for president in 2024 and a quarter of that counted, and at least half a percent of the state's 2024 vote. Each line runs from the 2024 margin to this year’s.
2024 president 2026
Bullitt County added 11,918 net votes for Wingfield against the 2024 margin, 15% of the district's change
Across the 20 counties compared, the margin moved by 79,877 votes toward Wingfield: this year’s lead in votes against the 2024 presidential lead in votes, county by county. The figure counts voters who changed sides and differences in who turned out alike; the count cannot tell them apart.
- Bullitt County+11,918 Wingfield
- Warren County+10,084 Wingfield
- Daviess County+9,926 Wingfield
- Hardin County+8,248 Wingfield
- Barren County+4,540 Wingfield
- Muhlenberg County+4,136 Wingfield
- Meade County+4,044 Wingfield
- Grayson County+3,980 Wingfield
Kentucky’s ballot
All of Kentucky’s resultsThe state legislatureBallot measures
The seat that changed party
Statewide
U.S. HouseBefore the election R 5–1, now R 4–2
won leads, still counting changed party. Margins are the leader’s share minus the runner-up’s, in points.
Every count on this page is the official count, from the state and its counties. Counts are unofficial until the state certifies them. The 2024 comparison is the presidential vote, Kamala Harris against Donald Trump, on the same ground. Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican, in points of all votes.