2026 results · Kentucky

Andy Barr, the Republican, wins Kentucky’s Senate race by 12.1 points

Donald Trump carried Kentucky by 30.6 points in 2024; the Senate race moved 18.5 points toward Democrats.

In the House, every one of the six contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 19.6 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Kentucky’s six House seats

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Before1–5

20262–4

Solid: won. The tick marks a majority (4 of 6). 1 seat changes party: KY-06.

The seat that decided the majority: KY-02, R+27.7, a district that voted R+40.9 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin. Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 4 seats needed for a majority.

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the Senate race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the Senate race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

Floyd County
Moved 28.2 points toward Democrats: R+59.2 for president in 2024; Andy Barr, the Republican, carried it at R+31.0.
10,973 votes counted, 15,650 cast in 2024.
Pike County
Moved 23.8 points toward Democrats: R+65.4 for president in 2024; Andy Barr, the Republican, carried it at R+41.6.
14,398 votes counted, 23,946 cast in 2024.
Carter County
Moved 23.7 points toward Democrats: R+58.5 for president in 2024; Andy Barr, the Republican, carried it at R+34.8.
7,134 votes counted, 11,420 cast in 2024.
Boyd County
Moved 22.6 points toward Democrats: R+38.5 for president in 2024; Andy Barr, the Republican, carried it at R+15.9.
12,460 votes counted, 20,951 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Barely related across counties. On average, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.5 points more Republican (r = −0.16).

By place

Urban3 counties, 433,240 votes15.9 pts → D

Suburban26 counties, 521,683 votes17.4 pts → D

Rural91 counties, 470,962 votes16.9 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

White non-Hispanic 85% or more103 counties, 787,142 votes17.7 pts → D

Every other county17 counties, 638,743 votes17.1 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Kentucky

Senate and governor

SenateAndy Barr Rover Charles Booker (D)R+12.1R+30.618.5 pts → Dwon

House

District 6FlipZach Dembo Dover Ralph Alvarado (R)D+9.4R+14.924.3 pts → Dwon District 4Ed Gallrein Rover Melissa Strange (D)R+13.4R+35.321.9 pts → Dwon District 2S. Guthrie Rover Megan Wingfield (D)R+27.7R+40.913.2 pts → Dwon District 1James Comer Rover Drew Williams (D)R+35.1R+46.711.6 pts → Dwon District 3Morgan McGarvey Dover Maria Teresa Rodriguez (R)D+40.7D+18.821.9 pts → Dwon District 5Hal Rogers Rover Ned Pillersdorf (D)R+45.8R+63.017.2 pts → Dwon

Ballot measures

Amendment 1 Gubernatorial Pardons70.7% yespassing

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Across the 102 counties that lie wholly in one district, the Senate race went R+21.4 and the House races R+20.0: the Senate margin ran 1.4 points more Republican than the House margin. 3 counties were carried by different parties in the two.

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Points of difference between the Senate margin and the House margin in each county.

Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Senate Democrat did better than the House Democrat; below it, worse.

21117carried by different parties

Senate: R+2.3Booker against Barr
House: D+3.2the district's race
Difference: R+5.5Barr ran ahead
Votes: about 55,076

Most votes firstSen.HouseDiff.

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. The House is compared only in counties that lie wholly inside one congressional district, so the county's House margin is one race's margin; a county divided between districts, or in a district without a Democrat against a Republican, is left out. 18 counties are left out. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

Kentucky’s legislature

Senate19 of 38 seats on the ballotBefore6–32Leaders5–1617 seats have no votes counted yet (gray). Control is not settled.Every district, mapped →House100 of 100 seats on the ballotBefore20–80Leaders1–1386 seats have no votes counted yet (gray). Control is not settled.Every district, mapped →

Counts are Kentucky’s official state and county counts. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.