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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Mississippi · Mississippi 3rd District

Michael Guest, the Republican, wins re-election in Mississippi's 3rd District

Donald Trump carried the district by 28.7 points in 2024; this year's count is a 12.5-point move toward the Democrats.

Mississippi 3rd District: votes counted for each candidate
CandidateVotesShareShare of the vote
Michael GuestRepublican, incumbent144,72757.5%
Michael ChiaradioDemocrat103,82341.3%
Erik KiehleLibertarian3,1571.3%

Called by Call the Map, Nov 3, 9:14 PM EST · 98% counted.

About 98% of the expected vote counted251,707 votesCount last changed Nov 7, 1:06 PM EST · checked Nov 7, 5:07 PM ESTSource: the official state and county counts, gathered by civicAPI

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About the seat

Mississippi's 3rd District takes in all or part of 23 counties. The Republicans held it before this election. Its voters went R+28.7 for president in 2024. Its move from that vote, 12.5 points toward the Democrats, ranks 4 of 4 among the state's districts, counting from the largest move toward the Democrats.

2024 president
R+28.7
Move from 2024, rank in state
4 of 4
  1. Rankin County20%
  2. Madison County14%
  3. Lauderdale County9%
  4. Oktibbeha County6%
  5. Pike County5%
  6. Lincoln County5%
  7. Hinds County4%
  8. Marion County3%
  9. 15 more34%

Shares are of the votes counted this year. The district was redrawn for 2026 or had no contest in 2024, so no 2024 House race compares like for like.

What the count shows

Added together, the 23 counties compared moved 12.5 points toward the Democrats from the 2024 presidential vote.

The counties compared cast 77% as many votes as in 2024, from 91% in Noxubee County to 64% in Covington County.

Winston County moved most: R+17.9 for president in 2024, R+1.2 this year

The 10 counties with the largest moves from the 2024 presidential vote, among those with 2,000 or more votes for president in 2024 and a quarter of that counted, and at least half a percent of the state's 2024 vote. Each line runs from the 2024 margin to this year’s.

CountyR+70EvenD+70Move
Winston County7,192 votes16.8 pts → D
Clarke County5,617 votes16.6 pts → D
Scott County7,862 votes16.3 pts → D
Pike County12,827 votes16.0 pts → D
Neshoba County8,040 votes15.4 pts → D
Jasper County6,128 votes15.0 pts → D
Smith County5,454 votes14.6 pts → D
Oktibbeha County14,368 votes14.1 pts → D
Marion County8,506 votes13.8 pts → D
Jones County2,909 votes13.6 pts → D

2024 president 2026

Rankin County added 15,204 net votes for Chiaradio against the 2024 margin, 29% of the district's change

Across the 23 counties compared, the margin moved by 53,111 votes toward Chiaradio: this year’s lead in votes against the 2024 presidential lead in votes, county by county. The figure counts voters who changed sides and differences in who turned out alike; the count cannot tell them apart.

  1. Rankin County+15,204 Chiaradio
  2. Madison County+5,816 Chiaradio
  3. Lauderdale County+3,963 Chiaradio
  4. Lincoln County+2,787 Chiaradio
  5. Neshoba County+2,516 Chiaradio
  6. Marion County+2,357 Chiaradio
  7. Pike County+2,155 Chiaradio
  8. Smith County+2,032 Chiaradio

2 counties Donald Trump carried in 2024 are led by Chiaradio this year

Striped on the map above. Largest first.

  • Pike CountyR+3.4D+12.6
  • Jasper CountyR+4.9D+10.1

U.S. HouseBefore the election R 3–1, now R 3–1

  1. R+18.1Kelly
  2. D+37.7Thompson
  3. R+16.3Guest
  4. R+25.3Ezell

won leads, still counting changed party. Margins are the leader’s share minus the runner-up’s, in points.

Every count on this page is the official count, from the state and its counties. Counts are unofficial until the state certifies them. The 2024 comparison is the presidential vote, Kamala Harris against Donald Trump, on the same ground. Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican, in points of all votes.