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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Mississippi

Mississippi moved 23 points toward Democrats as Scott Colom leads the Senate race by 0.3 points

Scott Colom, the Democrat, leads the Senate race by 0.3 points, with the count still going.

It is the ninth-largest move among the 66 Senate and governor's races between a Democrat and a Republican.

In the House, every one of the four contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 17.1 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Mississippi’s four House seats

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Before1–3
20261–3

Solid: won. The tick marks a majority (3 of 4).

The seat that decided the majority: MS-01, R+18.1, a district that voted R+36.6 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin. Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 3 seats needed for a majority.
  1. MS-02Bennie ThompsonD+37.6← 17.6
  2. MS-03Michael GuestR+16.3← 12.5
  3. MS-01Trent KellyR+18.1← 18.5
  4. MS-04Mike EzellR+25.3← 16.7

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the Senate race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the Senate race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

  1. DeSoto County

    Moved 30.2 points toward Democrats: R+24.1 for president in 2024; Scott Colom, the Democrat, carried it at D+6.1. The county changed sides.

    54,184 votes counted, 79,082 cast in 2024.

  2. Forrest County

    Moved 28.2 points toward Democrats: R+17.9 for president in 2024; Scott Colom, the Democrat, carried it at D+10.3. The county changed sides.

    22,433 votes counted, 28,466 cast in 2024.

  3. Panola County

    Moved 27.2 points toward Democrats: R+14.8 for president in 2024; Scott Colom, the Democrat, carried it at D+12.3. The county changed sides.

    11,364 votes counted, 14,422 cast in 2024.

  4. Jackson County

    Moved 25.2 points toward Democrats: R+39.9 for president in 2024; Cindy Hyde-Smith, the Republican, carried it at R+14.7.

    35,432 votes counted, 52,410 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Barely related across counties. On average, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.5 points more Democratic (r = 0.11).

0D+5D+10D+15D+20D+25D+30D+350%10%20%30%40%50%% with a bachelor's degree →↑ moved toward Democrats from 2024

By place

Suburban12 counties, 450,471 votes24.5 pts → D
Rural70 counties, 502,992 votes22.0 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

Black residents 30% or more56 counties, 578,470 votes22.0 pts → D
White non-Hispanic 85% or more2 counties, 13,735 votes14.4 pts → D
Every other county24 counties, 361,258 votes22.1 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Mississippi

Senate and governor

SenateScott Colom Dover Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)D+0.3*R+22.923.2 pts → Dcounting

House

District 3Michael Guest Rover Michael Chiaradio (D)R+16.3R+28.712.5 pts → DwonDistrict 1Trent Kelly Rover Cliff Johnson (D)R+18.1R+36.618.5 pts → DwonDistrict 4Mike Ezell Rover Jeffrey Hulum (D)R+25.3R+41.916.7 pts → DwonDistrict 2Bennie Thompson Dover Ron Eller (R)D+37.6D+20.117.6 pts → Dwon

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Mississippi’s legislature

House2 of 122 seats on the ballotThis chamber’s results are not matched to districts yet.Every district, mapped →

Counts are Mississippi’s official state and county counts. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.