2026 results · Maine

Troy Jackson, the Democrat, flips Maine’s Senate seat

Troy Jackson won by 6.1 points, 0.8 points more Democratic than the state voted for president in 2024.

In the House, every one of the two contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 9.0 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Maine’s two House seats

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Before2–0

20261–1

Solid: won; paler: leading, still counting. The tick marks a majority (2 of 2).

Democrats lost or trail in 1 seat by under 2 points: ME-02 R+1.6*. A majority took 2 of 2; they held 1, and the closest would have made it.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin (the expected finish where still counting, marked *). Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 2 seats needed for a majority.

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the Senate race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the Senate race, these moved furthest toward Republicans, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

Piscataquis County
Moved 7.3 points toward Republicans: R+29.2 for president in 2024; Susan Collins, the Republican, carried it at R+36.5.
8,353 votes counted, 10,205 cast in 2024.
Aroostook County
Moved 4.8 points toward Republicans: R+26.2 for president in 2024; Susan Collins, the Republican, carried it at R+31.0.
28,061 votes counted, 35,653 cast in 2024.
Franklin County
Moved 4.3 points toward Republicans: R+8.2 for president in 2024; Susan Collins, the Republican, carried it at R+12.5.
14,003 votes counted, 17,836 cast in 2024.
Somerset County
Moved 4.2 points toward Republicans: R+27.0 for president in 2024; Susan Collins, the Republican, carried it at R+31.2.
22,119 votes counted, 28,441 cast in 2024.

Only Kennebec County, Sagadahoc County, York County and Waldo County moved the other way, toward Democrats.

Who lives where it moved

Across counties, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.5 points more Democratic, on average (r = 0.23, a weak relationship).

By place

Suburban6 counties, 446,761 votes0.3 pts → R

Rural10 counties, 262,112 votes2.7 pts → R

By race and ethnicity

White non-Hispanic 85% or more16 counties, 708,873 votes0.8 pts → R

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Maine

Senate and governor

SenateFlipTroy Jackson Dover Susan Collins (R)D+6.1D+6.90.8 pts → Rwon GovernorHannah Pingree Dover Bobby Charles (R)D+16.9D+6.99.9 pts → Dwon

House

District 2Paul LePage Rover Matthew Dunlap (D)R+1.6*R+9.07.4 pts → Dcounting District 1Chellie Pingree Dover Ronald Russell (R)D+32.2D+21.510.7 pts → Dwon

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Across the 13 counties that lie wholly in one district, the Senate race went D+6.5 and the House races D+16.5: the Senate margin ran 10.0 points more Republican than the House margin. Every county was carried by the same party in both.

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Points of difference between the Senate margin and the House margin in each county.

Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Senate Democrat did better than the House Democrat; below it, worse.

23005Democratic in both

Senate: D+34.8Jackson against Collins
House: D+44.4the district's race
Difference: R+9.5Collins ran ahead
Votes: about 174,168

Most votes firstSen.HouseDiff.

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. The House is compared only in counties that lie wholly inside one congressional district, so the county's House margin is one race's margin; a county divided between districts, or in a district without a Democrat against a Republican, is left out. 3 counties are left out. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

Maine’s legislature

Senate35 of 35 seats on the ballotBefore20–141 otherLeaders24–114 seats are led by another party than held them. Democrats keep control.Every district, mapped →House151 of 151 seats on the ballotBefore75–733 othersLeaders88–6016 seats are led by another party than held them. Control moves to the Democrats.Every district, mapped →

Counts are Maine’s official state and county counts. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.