2026 results · Virginia

Mark R. Warner, the Democrat, wins Virginia’s Senate race by 22.8 points

Kamala Harris carried Virginia by 5.8 points in 2024; the Senate race moved 17.0 points toward Democrats.

In the House, every one of the 11 contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 12.5 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Virginia’s 11 House seats

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Before6–5

20268–3

Solid: won. The tick marks a majority (6 of 11). 2 seats change party: VA-02, VA-01.

Republicans lost 2 seats by under 9 points: VA-01 D+2.6, VA-02 D+8.5.

The seat that decided the majority: VA-07, D+22.1, a district that voted D+2.8 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin. Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 6 seats needed for a majority.

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the Senate race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the Senate race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

Prince William County
Moved 24.9 points toward Democrats: D+18.0 for president in 2024; Mark R. Warner, the Democrat, carried it at D+42.9.
183,232 votes counted, 227,591 cast in 2024.
Loudoun County
Moved 21.8 points toward Democrats: D+16.3 for president in 2024; Mark R. Warner, the Democrat, carried it at D+38.0.
183,217 votes counted, 228,208 cast in 2024.
Washington County
Moved 20.5 points toward Democrats: R+53.3 for president in 2024; Bert Mizusawa, the Republican, carried it at R+32.8.
20,976 votes counted, 29,412 cast in 2024.
Spotsylvania County
Moved 20.1 points toward Democrats: R+8.6 for president in 2024; Mark R. Warner, the Democrat, carried it at D+11.5. The county changed sides.
62,391 votes counted, 79,209 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Barely related across counties. On average, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.2 points more Democratic (r = 0.09).

By place

Urban34 counties, 1,699,010 votes17.0 pts → D

Suburban34 counties, 1,271,802 votes16.6 pts → D

Rural65 counties, 619,434 votes15.3 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

Black residents 30% or more27 counties, 489,277 votes14.4 pts → D

Hispanic residents 30% or more2 counties, 17,354 votes27.5 pts → D

White non-Hispanic 85% or more33 counties, 355,897 votes15.9 pts → D

Every other county71 counties, 2,727,718 votes16.9 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Virginia

Senate and governor

SenateMark R. Warner Dover Bert Mizusawa (R)D+22.8D+5.817.0 pts → Dwon

House · Changes first, then the closest

District 1FlipShannon L. Taylor Dover Robert J. "Rob" Wittman (R)D+2.6R+5.17.7 pts → Dwon District 2FlipElaine G. Luria Dover Jen A. Kiggans (R)D+8.5R+0.79.2 pts → Dwon District 5John J. McGuire III Rover Tom S. P. Perriello (D)R+2.1R+12.09.9 pts → Dwon District 6Ben L. Cline Rover Beth A. Macy (D)R+11.1R+23.612.5 pts → Dwon District 7Eugene S. Vindman Dover Doug A. Ollivant (R)D+22.1D+2.819.3 pts → Dwon

Ballot measures

Proposed Constitutional Amendment Question 162.6% yespassing

Proposed Constitutional Amendment Question 257.6% yespassing

Proposed Constitutional Amendment Question 356.7% yespassing

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Across the 124 counties that lie wholly in one district, the Senate race went D+16.5 and the House races D+12.5: the Senate margin ran 4.0 points more Democratic than the House margin. 3 counties were carried by different parties in the two.

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Points of difference between the Senate margin and the House margin in each county.

Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Senate Democrat did better than the House Democrat; below it, worse.

51199carried by different parties

Senate: D+5.9Warner against Mizusawa
House: Eventhe district's race
Difference: D+6.0Warner ran ahead
Votes: about 33,074

Most votes firstSen.HouseDiff.

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. The House is compared only in counties that lie wholly inside one congressional district, so the county's House margin is one race's margin; a county divided between districts, or in a district without a Democrat against a Republican, is left out. 9 counties are left out. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

Virginia’s legislature

House of Delegates1 of 100 seats on the ballotThis chamber’s results are not matched to districts yet.Every district, mapped →

Counts are Virginia’s official state and county counts, published by the Virginia Department of Elections. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.