2026 results · Michigan

Republicans came within 3 seats of a majority of Michigan’s House delegation

In the House, every one of the 13 contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 8.0 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Michigan’s 13 House seats

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Before6–7

20269–4

Solid: won; paler: leading, still counting. The tick marks a majority (7 of 13). 2 seats change party: MI-10, MI-07.

Republicans lost or trail in 3 seats by under 8 points: MI-04 D+1.8*, MI-07 D+3.3, MI-10 D+7.2. A majority took 7 of 13; they held 4, and the three closest would have made it.

The seat that decided the majority: MI-10, D+7.2, a district that voted R+6.5 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin (the expected finish where still counting, marked *). Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 7 seats needed for a majority.

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the governor's race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the governor's race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

Macomb County
Moved 17.3 points toward Democrats: R+13.7 for president in 2024; Jocelyn Benson, the Democrat, carried it at D+3.6. The county changed sides.
418,294 votes counted, 509,056 cast in 2024.
Wayne County
Moved 16.9 points toward Democrats: D+29.0 for president in 2024; Jocelyn Benson, the Democrat, carried it at D+45.9.
712,810 votes counted, 856,511 cast in 2024.
Marquette County
Moved 14.1 points toward Democrats: D+8.7 for president in 2024; Jocelyn Benson, the Democrat, carried it at D+22.8.
33,628 votes counted, 38,992 cast in 2024.
Bay County
Moved 13.2 points toward Democrats: R+14.7 for president in 2024; John James, the Republican, carried it at R+1.5.
49,767 votes counted, 61,331 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Across counties, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 1.1 points more Republican, on average (r = −0.40, a weak relationship).

By place

Urban3 counties, 1,803,194 votes14.5 pts → D

Suburban29 counties, 2,339,870 votes10.6 pts → D

Rural51 counties, 628,560 votes10.5 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

Black residents 30% or more1 county, 712,810 votes16.9 pts → D

White non-Hispanic 85% or more55 counties, 1,258,037 votes10.4 pts → D

Every other county27 counties, 2,800,777 votes11.6 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Michigan

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Compare

Across the 83 counties, the Senate race went D+7.0 and the governor's race D+10.8: the Senate margin ran 3.8 points more Republican than the governor's. 4 counties were carried by different parties in the two.

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Points of difference between the Senate margin and the governor's in each county.

Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Senate Democrat did better than the governor Democrat; below it, worse.

26099carried by different parties

Senate: R+1.8El-Sayed against Rogers
Governor: D+3.6Benson against James
Difference: R+5.4Rogers ran ahead
Votes: about 418,662

Most votes firstSen.Gov.Diff.

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

Michigan’s legislature

Senate38 of 38 seats on the ballotBefore20–18Leaders12–1016 seats have no votes counted yet (gray). 2 seats are led by another party than held them. Control is not settled.Every district, mapped →House110 of 110 seats on the ballotBefore52–58Leaders29–1962 seats have no votes counted yet (gray). 5 seats are led by another party than held them. Control is not settled.Every district, mapped →

Counts are Michigan’s official state and county counts. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

Michigan’s 13 House seats

Close up: the four counties that moved most

Macomb County

Wayne County

Marquette County

Bay County