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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · California

Xavier Becerra, the Democrat, is elected governor of California by 30.5 points

Kamala Harris carried California by 20.1 points in 2024; the governor's race moved 10.4 points toward Democrats.

In the House, the median contested seat moved 14.0 points toward Democrats.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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California’s 52 House seats

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Before43–9
202648–4

Solid: won; paler: leading, still counting. The tick marks a majority (27 of 52). 5 seats change party: CA-41, CA-22, CA-48, CA-03, CA-01.

The seat that decided the majority: CA-38, D+34.4, a district that voted D+12.5 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin (the expected finish where still counting, marked *). Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 27 seats needed for a majority.

Ten seats had two candidates of one party (nine with two Democrats, one with two Republicans) on the ballot, so no party margin to plot: CA-04, CA-06, CA-07, CA-11, CA-12, CA-14, CA-29, CA-34, CA-37, CA-40.

  1. CA-43Maxine WatersD+65.0← 15.7
  2. CA-44Nanette BarragánD+62.6← 27.2
  3. CA-15Kevin MullinD+56.9← 8.5
  4. CA-30Laura FriedmanD+54.1← 13.7
  5. CA-16Sam LiccardoD+53.6← 5.0
  6. CA-08John GaramendiD+45.3← 11.0
  7. CA-36Ted LieuD+44.8← 5.4
  8. CA-19Jimmy PanettaD+44.7← 9.9
  9. CA-18Zoe LofgrenD+44.2← 15.6
  10. CA-17Ro KhannaD+42.4← 2.7
  11. CA-28Judy ChuD+39.8← 14.3
  12. CA-52Juan VargasD+39.5← 21.9
  13. CA-10Mark DeSaulnierD+39.3← 5.5
  14. CA-46Lou CorreaD+39.2← 22.9
  15. CA-33Pete AguilarD+35.9← 26.0
  16. CA-32Brad ShermanD+34.7← 9.6
  17. CA-38Hilda SolisD+34.4← 21.9
  18. CA-41Linda SánchezFlipD+34.4← 20.1
  19. CA-09Josh HarderD+33.8← 22.3
  20. CA-22Randy VillegasFlipD+33.2← 35.0
  21. CA-39Mark TakanoD+33.2*← 23.6
  22. CA-35Norma TorresD+32.2← 24.4
  23. CA-24Salud CarbajalD+32.0← 6.9
  24. CA-31Gil CisnerosD+31.1← 18.8
  25. CA-25Raul RuizD+30.0← 24.2
  26. CA-02Jared HuffmanD+29.9← 5.1
  27. CA-51Sara JacobsD+28.0← 9.7
  28. CA-27George WhitesidesD+27.2← 17.4
  29. CA-21Jim CostaD+25.3← 19.3
  30. CA-26Jacqui IrwinD+23.9← 8.6
  31. CA-50Scott PetersD+23.7← 5.3
  32. CA-13Adam GrayD+23.3← 22.8
  33. CA-42Robert GarciaD+22.3← 9.1
  34. CA-45Derek TranD+20.0← 16.1
  35. CA-48Marni von WilpertFlipD+18.8← 15.3
  36. CA-03Ami BeraFlipD+15.9← 5.6
  37. CA-49Mike LevinD+15.6← 3.4
  38. CA-47Dave MinD+15.1← 4.9
  39. CA-01Mike McGuireFlipD+10.5→ 1.8
  40. CA-23Jay ObernolteR+3.7*← 15.7
  41. CA-05Tom McClintockR+12.7← 8.0
  42. CA-20Vince FongR+23.7← 8.4

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the governor's race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the governor's race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

  1. Kern County

    Moved 20.4 points toward Democrats: R+21.1 for president in 2024; Steve Hilton, the Republican, carried it at R+0.7.

    142,475 votes counted, 283,246 cast in 2024.

  2. Merced County

    Moved 20.3 points toward Democrats: R+4.4 for president in 2024; Xavier Becerra, the Democrat, carried it at D+15.9. The county changed sides.

    49,487 votes counted, 86,392 cast in 2024.

  3. San Bernardino County

    Moved 18.2 points toward Democrats: R+2.1 for president in 2024; Xavier Becerra, the Democrat, carried it at D+16.1. The county changed sides.

    476,060 votes counted, 761,714 cast in 2024.

  4. Tulare County

    Moved 17.3 points toward Democrats: R+20.7 for president in 2024; Steve Hilton, the Republican, carried it at R+3.4.

    77,706 votes counted, 138,271 cast in 2024.

Only Marin County, San Mateo County and El Dorado County moved the other way, toward Republicans.

Who lives where it moved

Across counties, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 4.2 points more Republican, on average (r = −0.78, a strong relationship).

R+50D+5D+10D+15D+20D+25D+30D+3510%30%50%70%% with a bachelor's degree →↑ moved toward Democrats from 2024

By place

Urban8 counties, 5,753,680 votes8.6 pts → D
Suburban24 counties, 3,705,766 votes10.4 pts → D
Rural26 counties, 474,782 votes7.3 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

Hispanic residents 30% or more24 counties, 6,957,713 votes13.2 pts → D
White non-Hispanic 85% or more1 county, 1,499 votes0.3 pts → D
Every other county33 counties, 2,975,016 votes4.7 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in California

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Compare

Across the 21 counties that lie wholly in one district, the governor's race went D+11.4 and the House races D+13.4: the governor's margin ran 2.0 points more Republican than the House margin. Every county was carried by the same party in both.

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Points of difference between the Governor margin and the House margin in each county.

Gov. D, House RGov. R, House DR+70R+35R+3500D+35D+35D+70D+70same margin in both ↗House marginGovernor margin
Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Governor Democrat did better than the House Democrat; below it, worse.

06083Democratic in both

Governor
D+31.9Becerra against Hilton
House
D+33.8the district's race
Difference
R+1.9Hilton ran ahead
Votes
about 99,144
Most votes firstGov.HouseDiff.
  • 06083D+31.9D+33.8R+1.9
  • 06041D+59.2D+64.9R+5.7
  • 06007R+0.5R+3.9D+3.4
  • 06047D+15.9D+15.0D+0.9
  • 06057D+15.8D+16.7R+1.0
  • 06089R+27.2R+25.1R+2.2
  • 06023D+31.9D+36.6R+4.7
  • 06109R+18.7R+14.9R+3.8
  • 06009R+27.5R+23.6R+3.9
  • 06005R+27.8R+19.9R+8.0
  • 06093R+17.3R+13.4R+3.8
  • 06069D+23.3D+25.7R+2.3
  • 06035R+53.2R+53.3D+0.1
  • 06063R+14.2R+14.7D+0.5
  • 06043R+18.1R+15.1R+3.1
  • 06027D+4.8D+6.5R+1.7
  • 06015R+8.0R+2.6R+5.4
  • 06021R+30.9R+35.6D+4.7
  • 06051D+22.5D+27.7R+5.2
  • 06105R+6.2R+0.6R+5.5
  • 06091R+23.9R+22.6R+1.4

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. The House is compared only in counties that lie wholly inside one congressional district, so the county's House margin is one race's margin; a county divided between districts, or in a district without a Democrat against a Republican, is left out. 37 counties are left out. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

California’s legislature

Counts are California’s official state and county counts. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.