2026 results · Minnesota

Peggy Flanagan, the Democrat, wins Minnesota’s Senate race by 10.1 points

Kamala Harris carried Minnesota by 4.3 points in 2024.

The governor's race moved 8.6 points toward Democrats from the 2024 presidential vote.

In the House, the median contested seat moved 8.0 points toward Democrats.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Minnesota’s eight House seats

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Before4–4

20265–3

Solid: won; paler: leading, still counting. The tick marks a majority (5 of 8).

Republicans lost or trail in 1 seat by under 1 points: MN-01 D+0.1*.

The seat that decided the majority: MN-02, D+14.3, a district that voted D+5.8 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin (the expected finish where still counting, marked *). Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 5 seats needed for a majority.

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the governor's race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the governor's race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

Clay County
Moved 13.0 points toward Democrats: D+0.5 for president in 2024; Amy Klobuchar, the Democrat, carried it at D+13.5.
26,776 votes counted, 32,734 cast in 2024.
Mower County
Moved 11.1 points toward Democrats: R+10.5 for president in 2024; Amy Klobuchar, the Democrat, carried it at D+0.6. The county changed sides.
15,723 votes counted, 18,926 cast in 2024.
Blue Earth County
Moved 10.7 points toward Democrats: R+1.2 for president in 2024; Amy Klobuchar, the Democrat, carried it at D+9.5. The county changed sides.
29,748 votes counted, 36,326 cast in 2024.
Ramsey County
Moved 10.0 points toward Democrats: D+43.3 for president in 2024; Amy Klobuchar, the Democrat, carried it at D+53.4.
249,022 votes counted, 276,736 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Barely related across counties. On average, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.1 points more Democratic (r = 0.05).

By place

Urban2 counties, 912,038 votes7.4 pts → D

Suburban12 counties, 1,059,674 votes8.0 pts → D

Rural73 counties, 858,413 votes7.1 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

Hispanic residents 30% or more1 county, 6,608 votes13.8 pts → D

White non-Hispanic 85% or more59 counties, 898,554 votes6.6 pts → D

Every other county27 counties, 1,924,963 votes8.6 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Minnesota

Ballot measures

Constitutional amendment 175.6% yespassing

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Compare

Across the 87 counties, the Senate race went D+10.1 and the governor's race D+12.8: the Senate margin ran 2.7 points more Republican than the governor's. 2 counties were carried by different parties in the two.

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Points of difference between the Senate margin and the governor's in each county.

Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Senate Democrat did better than the governor Democrat; below it, worse.

27007carried by different parties

Senate: R+1.0Flanagan against Tafoya
Governor: D+0.2Klobuchar against Demuth
Difference: R+1.3Tafoya ran ahead
Votes: about 20,162

Most votes firstSen.Gov.Diff.

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

Minnesota’s legislature

Senate67 of 67 seats on the ballotBefore34–33Leaders39–287 seats are led by another party than held them. Democrats keep control.Every district, mapped →House134 of 134 seats on the ballotBefore67–661 vacantLeaders77–5710 seats are led by another party than held them. Control moves to the Democrats.Every district, mapped →

Counts are Minnesota’s official state and county counts, published by the Minnesota Secretary of State. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

Minnesota’s eight House seats

Close up: the four counties that moved most

Clay County

Mower County

Blue Earth County

Ramsey County