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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · New Mexico

Ben Ray Luján, the Democrat, wins New Mexico’s Senate race by 26.5 points

Kamala Harris carried New Mexico by 6.0 points in 2024; the Senate race moved 20.5 points toward Democrats.

In the House, every one of the three contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 18.1 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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New Mexico’s three House seats

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Before3–0
20263–0

Solid: won. The tick marks a majority (2 of 3).

The seat that decided the majority: NM-03, D+23.3, a district that voted D+5.2 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin. Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 2 seats needed for a majority.
  1. NM-01Melanie StansburyD+27.3← 14.6
  2. NM-03Teresa Leger FernandezD+23.3← 18.1
  3. NM-02Gabe VasquezD+17.5← 19.3

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the Senate race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the Senate race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

  1. McKinley County

    Moved 32.8 points toward Democrats: D+24.5 for president in 2024; Ben Ray Luján, the Democrat, carried it at D+57.4.

    20,019 votes counted, 25,867 cast in 2024.

  2. Luna County

    Moved 32.8 points toward Democrats: R+18.9 for president in 2024; Ben Ray Luján, the Democrat, carried it at D+13.9. The county changed sides.

    5,943 votes counted, 8,056 cast in 2024.

  3. Socorro County

    Moved 28.1 points toward Democrats: R+3.7 for president in 2024; Ben Ray Luján, the Democrat, carried it at D+24.4. The county changed sides.

    5,789 votes counted, 7,233 cast in 2024.

  4. Cibola County

    Moved 27.3 points toward Democrats: D+1.5 for president in 2024; Ben Ray Luján, the Democrat, carried it at D+28.8.

    7,235 votes counted, 8,977 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Across counties, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 3.1 points more Republican, on average (r = −0.65, a strong relationship).

0D+5D+10D+15D+20D+25D+30D+35D+400%20%40%60%% with a bachelor's degree →↑ moved toward Democrats from 2024

By place

Suburban2 counties, 259,643 votes16.7 pts → D
Rural31 counties, 465,547 votes22.4 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

Hispanic residents 30% or more28 counties, 649,965 votes20.1 pts → D
Every other county5 counties, 75,225 votes23.6 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in New Mexico

Senate and governor

SenateBen Ray Luján Dover Larry Marker (R)D+26.5D+6.020.5 pts → DwonGovernorDeb Haaland Dover Gregg Hull (R)D+14.7D+6.08.7 pts → Dwon

House

District 2Gabriel Vasquez Dover Greg Cunningham (R)D+17.5R+1.819.3 pts → DwonDistrict 3Teresa Leger Fernandez Dover Martin Zamora (R)D+23.3D+5.218.1 pts → DwonDistrict 1Melanie Stansbury Dover Didi Okpareke (R)D+27.3D+12.714.6 pts → Dwon

Other statewide offices

TreasurerLaura M Montoya Dover James F Ellison (R)D+19.6D+6.013.6 pts → DwonAuditorJoseph M Maestas Dover Joshua James Ryan Lawrence (R)D+21.1*D+6.015.1 pts → D99% countedCommissioner of Public LandsJuan De Jesus Sanchez IIi Dover Michael Jack Perry (R)D+21.4*D+6.015.4 pts → D99% countedSecretary of StateAmanda López Askin Dover Ramona L Goolsby (R)D+21.9D+6.015.9 pts → DwonAttorney GeneralRaul Torrez Dover Samuel Isaiah Kane Sr. (R)D+26.0D+6.020.0 pts → Dwon

Ballot measures

Constitutional Amendment 463.5% yespassing
Bond Question 364.3% yespassing
Constitutional Amendment 264.8% yespassing
Bond Question 169.6% yespassing
Constitutional Amendment 370.0% yespassing
Bond Question 266.0% yespassing
Constitutional Amendment 175.1% yespassing

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Compare

Across the 33 counties, the Senate race went D+26.5 and the governor's race D+14.7: the Senate margin ran 11.8 points more Democratic than the governor's. 3 counties were carried by different parties in the two.

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Points of difference between the Senate margin and the governor's in each county.

Sen. D, Gov. RSen. R, Gov. DR+70R+35R+3500D+35D+35D+70D+70same margin in both ↗Governor marginSenate margin
Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Senate Democrat did better than the governor Democrat; below it, worse.

35061carried by different parties

Senate
D+6.5Luján against Marker
Governor
R+6.6Haaland against Hull
Difference
D+13.1Luján ran ahead
Votes
about 26,158
Most votes firstSen.Gov.Diff.
  • 35001D+38.0D+25.1D+12.9
  • 35049D+64.0D+54.5D+9.4
  • 35013D+35.3D+27.7D+7.6
  • 35043D+19.4D+3.1D+16.3
  • 35045R+9.9R+22.0D+12.2
  • 35061D+6.5R+6.6D+13.1
  • 35031D+57.4D+45.0D+12.4
  • 35035R+8.1R+14.2D+6.2
  • 35015R+38.6R+44.8D+6.2
  • 35005R+26.1R+32.4D+6.3
  • 35055D+66.8D+56.0D+10.7
  • 35025R+38.1R+44.2D+6.1
  • 35039D+46.6D+23.6D+23.1
  • 35017D+25.4D+16.7D+8.7
  • 35009R+24.0R+31.3D+7.3
  • 35028D+40.3D+29.4D+10.9
  • 35047D+51.9D+33.7D+18.1
  • 35027R+25.6R+33.4D+7.8
  • 35006D+28.8D+4.1D+24.7
  • 35029D+13.9D+3.4D+10.5
  • 35053D+24.4D+10.5D+14.0
  • 35057R+19.5R+30.6D+11.1
  • 35041R+27.6R+33.6D+6.0
  • 35007D+7.6R+8.7D+16.3
  • 35051R+2.2R+11.5D+9.3
  • 35037R+23.9R+34.3D+10.4
  • 35033D+45.4D+18.9D+26.5
  • 35003R+34.5R+43.8D+9.3
  • 35019D+37.5D+14.4D+23.1
  • 35023D+4.1R+7.6D+11.7
  • 35059R+35.4R+46.0D+10.6
  • 35011R+38.6R+50.4D+11.8
  • 35021R+23.7R+35.3D+11.5

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

New Mexico’s legislature

Senate1 of 42 seats on the ballotBefore26–16Leaders26–16Democrats keep control.Every district, mapped →House70 of 70 seats on the ballotBefore43–261 vacantLeaders47–235 seats are led by another party than held them. Democrats keep control.Every district, mapped →

Counts are New Mexico’s official state and county counts. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.