2026 results · Oklahoma
Oklahoma moved 28 points toward Democrats, and Mike Mazzei held the governorship by 6.0
Donald Trump carried Oklahoma by 34.3 points in 2024.
It is the second-largest move among the 66 Senate and governor's races between a Democrat and a Republican.
In the House, every one of the five contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 16.4 points.
Who won each county, and how far it moved
Oklahoma’s five House seats
Democrats lost or trail in 2 seats by under 5 points: OK-05 R+1.3*, OK-01 R+4.6.
The seat that decided the majority: OK-04, R+18.1, a district that voted R+33.0 for president in 2024.
- OK-05Stephanie BiceR+1.3*← 16.4
- OK-01Mark TedfordR+4.6← 16.8
- OK-04Tom ColeR+18.1← 14.9
- OK-03Frank LucasR+27.9← 17.3
- OK-02Josh BrecheenR+39.0← 16.1
← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.
Close up: the four counties that moved most
In the governor's race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.
Canadian County
Moved 33.9 points toward Democrats: R+40.4 for president in 2024; Mike Mazzei, the Republican, carried it at R+6.5.
54,380 votes counted, 73,074 cast in 2024.
Caddo County
Moved 33.9 points toward Democrats: R+47.1 for president in 2024; Mike Mazzei, the Republican, carried it at R+13.2.
6,449 votes counted, 9,496 cast in 2024.
Custer County
Moved 31.3 points toward Democrats: R+53.2 for president in 2024; Mike Mazzei, the Republican, carried it at R+21.9.
7,200 votes counted, 10,168 cast in 2024.
Pontotoc County
Moved 31.1 points toward Democrats: R+46.6 for president in 2024; Mike Mazzei, the Republican, carried it at R+15.5.
10,570 votes counted, 15,174 cast in 2024.
No county compared moved the other way.
Who lives where it moved
Across counties, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.9 points more Democratic, on average (r = 0.21, a weak relationship).
By place
By race and ethnicity
Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.
Every race in Oklahoma
Senate and governor
House
Other statewide offices
Ballot measures
Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.
Ticket splitting
Across the 77 counties, the Senate race went R+17.9 and the governor's race R+6.0: the Senate margin ran 11.9 points more Republican than the governor's. 2 counties were carried by different parties in the two.
Points of difference between the Senate margin and the governor's in each county.
40143carried by different parties
- Senate
- R+1.3Thomas against Hern
- Governor
- D+10.2Munson against Mazzei
- Difference
- R+11.5Hern ran ahead
- Votes
- about 191,681
- 40109D+13.6D+24.8R+11.2
- 40143R+1.3D+10.2R+11.5
- 40027D+1.1D+12.3R+11.2
- 40017R+19.9R+6.5R+13.4
- 40131R+40.8R+26.1R+14.7
- 40145R+34.8R+22.7R+12.1
- 40031R+9.9R+1.3R+8.6
- 40037R+42.1R+30.0R+12.1
- 40119R+12.9D+5.7R+18.6
- 40125R+33.6R+20.5R+13.1
- 40083R+36.7R+24.7R+12.0
- 40051R+47.4R+32.7R+14.7
- 40101R+19.9R+8.3R+11.6
- 40147R+38.8R+26.4R+12.4
- 40087R+45.9R+34.1R+11.9
- 40047R+41.8R+26.2R+15.5
- 40113R+27.2R+13.2R+14.1
- 40021R+13.2R+1.7R+11.5
- 40019R+36.7R+32.9R+3.8
- 40137R+52.8R+42.4R+10.4
- 40071R+37.8R+22.3R+15.5
- 40121R+45.9R+35.2R+10.7
- 40041R+50.1R+40.7R+9.5
- 40013R+41.3R+35.8R+5.4
- 40097R+43.3R+26.6R+16.7
- 40079R+51.1R+45.3R+5.8
- 40123R+28.1R+15.5R+12.6
- 40081R+51.8R+37.1R+14.7
- 40111R+27.0R+15.7R+11.3
- 40135R+45.5R+38.0R+7.5
- 40039R+39.7R+21.9R+17.8
- 40049R+49.5R+40.6R+8.9
- 40115R+36.2R+25.1R+11.1
- 40089R+56.1R+50.6R+5.5
- 40015R+28.3R+13.2R+15.1
- 40091R+41.8R+31.6R+10.2
- 40133R+36.8R+24.4R+12.4
- 40065R+47.7R+39.1R+8.6
- 40001R+45.7R+35.0R+10.7
- 40009R+58.4R+44.2R+14.2
- 40153R+60.0R+42.8R+17.2
- 40117R+44.6R+28.2R+16.5
- 40095R+49.2R+44.7R+4.5
- 40073R+60.4R+41.2R+19.3
- 40035R+46.2R+31.7R+14.5
- 40099R+46.1R+35.2R+10.9
- 40139R+45.1R+34.6R+10.4
- 40103R+46.9R+24.8R+22.1
- 40023R+51.8R+49.0R+2.8
- 40005R+58.5R+53.4R+5.2
- 40105R+55.3R+40.2R+15.1
- 40127R+60.8R+54.2R+6.6
- 40149R+61.4R+45.1R+16.3
- 40061R+54.5R+44.7R+9.8
- 40063R+48.1R+36.7R+11.4
- 40107R+40.6R+28.3R+12.3
- 40069R+51.8R+46.9R+5.0
- 40011R+50.3R+30.0R+20.3
- 40151R+54.8R+30.5R+24.3
- 40085R+46.2R+41.7R+4.5
- 40077R+50.3R+38.7R+11.6
- 40093R+72.4R+57.3R+15.1
- 40075R+49.0R+30.4R+18.6
- 40141R+47.2R+34.9R+12.4
- 40003R+69.6R+43.7R+25.9
- 40033R+56.7R+42.3R+14.4
- 40029R+59.7R+52.8R+6.8
- 40007R+71.2R+59.4R+11.8
- 40043R+74.2R+53.8R+20.4
- 40053R+63.7R+39.6R+24.2
- 40067R+60.3R+48.5R+11.8
- 40055R+53.3R+38.4R+14.9
- 40045R+69.1R+50.1R+19.0
- 40129R+71.5R+54.5R+17.0
- 40059R+68.9R+46.8R+22.2
- 40025R+76.2R+70.7R+5.5
- 40057R+43.6R+35.1R+8.5
Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.
Oklahoma’s legislature
Counts are Oklahoma’s official state and county counts. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.