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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Oklahoma

Oklahoma moved 28 points toward Democrats, and Mike Mazzei held the governorship by 6.0

Donald Trump carried Oklahoma by 34.3 points in 2024.

It is the second-largest move among the 66 Senate and governor's races between a Democrat and a Republican.

In the House, every one of the five contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 16.4 points.

Who won each county, and how far it moved

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Oklahoma’s five House seats

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Before0–5
20260–5

Solid: won; paler: leading, still counting. The tick marks a majority (3 of 5).

Democrats lost or trail in 2 seats by under 5 points: OK-05 R+1.3*, OK-01 R+4.6.

The seat that decided the majority: OK-04, R+18.1, a district that voted R+33.0 for president in 2024.

Every seat, 2024 to 2026. Open circle: the 2024 presidential margin in the district. Filled: the 2026 House margin (the expected finish where still counting, marked *). Ordered from the most Democratic result to the most Republican; the rule marks the 3 seats needed for a majority.
  1. OK-05Stephanie BiceR+1.3*← 16.4
  2. OK-01Mark TedfordR+4.6← 16.8
  3. OK-04Tom ColeR+18.1← 14.9
  4. OK-03Frank LucasR+27.9← 17.3
  5. OK-02Josh BrecheenR+39.0← 16.1

← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.

Close up: the four counties that moved most

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Each county’s move from the 2024 presidential vote in the governor's race; the maps above show the result beside it.

In the governor's race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.

  1. Canadian County

    Moved 33.9 points toward Democrats: R+40.4 for president in 2024; Mike Mazzei, the Republican, carried it at R+6.5.

    54,380 votes counted, 73,074 cast in 2024.

  2. Caddo County

    Moved 33.9 points toward Democrats: R+47.1 for president in 2024; Mike Mazzei, the Republican, carried it at R+13.2.

    6,449 votes counted, 9,496 cast in 2024.

  3. Custer County

    Moved 31.3 points toward Democrats: R+53.2 for president in 2024; Mike Mazzei, the Republican, carried it at R+21.9.

    7,200 votes counted, 10,168 cast in 2024.

  4. Pontotoc County

    Moved 31.1 points toward Democrats: R+46.6 for president in 2024; Mike Mazzei, the Republican, carried it at R+15.5.

    10,570 votes counted, 15,174 cast in 2024.

No county compared moved the other way.

Who lives where it moved

Across counties, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.9 points more Democratic, on average (r = 0.21, a weak relationship).

0D+5D+10D+15D+20D+25D+30D+3510%20%30%40%50%% with a bachelor's degree →↑ moved toward Democrats from 2024

By place

Urban2 counties, 421,064 votes26.2 pts → D
Suburban7 counties, 264,212 votes28.7 pts → D
Rural68 counties, 434,863 votes26.3 pts → D

By race and ethnicity

Hispanic residents 30% or more2 counties, 4,191 votes32.2 pts → D
White non-Hispanic 85% or more1 county, 1,413 votes31.0 pts → D
Every other county74 counties, 1,114,535 votes28.2 pts → D

Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.

Every race in Oklahoma

Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.

Ticket splitting

Compare

Across the 77 counties, the Senate race went R+17.9 and the governor's race R+6.0: the Senate margin ran 11.9 points more Republican than the governor's. 2 counties were carried by different parties in the two.

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Points of difference between the Senate margin and the governor's in each county.

Sen. D, Gov. RSen. R, Gov. DR+80R+40R+4000D+40D+40D+80D+80same margin in both ↗Governor marginSenate margin
Each circle is a county, its area the votes cast. Above the line the Senate Democrat did better than the governor Democrat; below it, worse.

40143carried by different parties

Senate
R+1.3Thomas against Hern
Governor
D+10.2Munson against Mazzei
Difference
R+11.5Hern ran ahead
Votes
about 191,681
Most votes firstSen.Gov.Diff.
  • 40109D+13.6D+24.8R+11.2
  • 40143R+1.3D+10.2R+11.5
  • 40027D+1.1D+12.3R+11.2
  • 40017R+19.9R+6.5R+13.4
  • 40131R+40.8R+26.1R+14.7
  • 40145R+34.8R+22.7R+12.1
  • 40031R+9.9R+1.3R+8.6
  • 40037R+42.1R+30.0R+12.1
  • 40119R+12.9D+5.7R+18.6
  • 40125R+33.6R+20.5R+13.1
  • 40083R+36.7R+24.7R+12.0
  • 40051R+47.4R+32.7R+14.7
  • 40101R+19.9R+8.3R+11.6
  • 40147R+38.8R+26.4R+12.4
  • 40087R+45.9R+34.1R+11.9
  • 40047R+41.8R+26.2R+15.5
  • 40113R+27.2R+13.2R+14.1
  • 40021R+13.2R+1.7R+11.5
  • 40019R+36.7R+32.9R+3.8
  • 40137R+52.8R+42.4R+10.4
  • 40071R+37.8R+22.3R+15.5
  • 40121R+45.9R+35.2R+10.7
  • 40041R+50.1R+40.7R+9.5
  • 40013R+41.3R+35.8R+5.4
  • 40097R+43.3R+26.6R+16.7
  • 40079R+51.1R+45.3R+5.8
  • 40123R+28.1R+15.5R+12.6
  • 40081R+51.8R+37.1R+14.7
  • 40111R+27.0R+15.7R+11.3
  • 40135R+45.5R+38.0R+7.5
  • 40039R+39.7R+21.9R+17.8
  • 40049R+49.5R+40.6R+8.9
  • 40115R+36.2R+25.1R+11.1
  • 40089R+56.1R+50.6R+5.5
  • 40015R+28.3R+13.2R+15.1
  • 40091R+41.8R+31.6R+10.2
  • 40133R+36.8R+24.4R+12.4
  • 40065R+47.7R+39.1R+8.6
  • 40001R+45.7R+35.0R+10.7
  • 40009R+58.4R+44.2R+14.2
  • 40153R+60.0R+42.8R+17.2
  • 40117R+44.6R+28.2R+16.5
  • 40095R+49.2R+44.7R+4.5
  • 40073R+60.4R+41.2R+19.3
  • 40035R+46.2R+31.7R+14.5
  • 40099R+46.1R+35.2R+10.9
  • 40139R+45.1R+34.6R+10.4
  • 40103R+46.9R+24.8R+22.1
  • 40023R+51.8R+49.0R+2.8
  • 40005R+58.5R+53.4R+5.2
  • 40105R+55.3R+40.2R+15.1
  • 40127R+60.8R+54.2R+6.6
  • 40149R+61.4R+45.1R+16.3
  • 40061R+54.5R+44.7R+9.8
  • 40063R+48.1R+36.7R+11.4
  • 40107R+40.6R+28.3R+12.3
  • 40069R+51.8R+46.9R+5.0
  • 40011R+50.3R+30.0R+20.3
  • 40151R+54.8R+30.5R+24.3
  • 40085R+46.2R+41.7R+4.5
  • 40077R+50.3R+38.7R+11.6
  • 40093R+72.4R+57.3R+15.1
  • 40075R+49.0R+30.4R+18.6
  • 40141R+47.2R+34.9R+12.4
  • 40003R+69.6R+43.7R+25.9
  • 40033R+56.7R+42.3R+14.4
  • 40029R+59.7R+52.8R+6.8
  • 40007R+71.2R+59.4R+11.8
  • 40043R+74.2R+53.8R+20.4
  • 40053R+63.7R+39.6R+24.2
  • 40067R+60.3R+48.5R+11.8
  • 40055R+53.3R+38.4R+14.9
  • 40045R+69.1R+50.1R+19.0
  • 40129R+71.5R+54.5R+17.0
  • 40059R+68.9R+46.8R+22.2
  • 40025R+76.2R+70.7R+5.5
  • 40057R+43.6R+35.1R+8.5

Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.

Oklahoma’s legislature

Counts are Oklahoma’s official state and county counts. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.