Call
the Map
Forecast5 days out
Race polling · GOV-KS

Kansas Governor polls 2026

Cindy Holscher (D) vs Ty Masterson (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageR+4.1the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls88 on file · 8 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 26Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-26 (3 days old)
EditionOct 29the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 29, 2026R+4.1today's poll average of 8 polls

R+10R+5EvenD+5Aug 16Aug 30Sep 13Sep 27Oct 11Oct 29
  • poll in the average · area is its weight
  • trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table
The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
DaysAverage as it stoodTrend line
Oct 29, 2026R+4.1R+4.1
Oct 26–Oct 28, 2026R+4.1R+4.1
Oct 21–Oct 25, 2026R+3.8R+4.0 to R+4.1
Oct 4–Oct 20, 2026R+3.9R+3.9 to R+4.0
Sep 30–Oct 3, 2026R+4.3R+4.0 to R+3.9
Sep 16–Sep 29, 2026R+4.3R+4.3 to R+4.0
Sep 10–Sep 15, 2026R+4.6R+5.0 to R+4.4
Aug 16–Sep 9, 2026D+1.0D+1.0 to R+4.9

In governor races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+4.4.

Every poll on file · 8

newest added first

8 in the poll average · 2 primary polls on file, not listed here

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
●CNN/SSRSGeneral838 LVR+5.0Ty Masterson 50Cindy Holscher 45Neither 4Someone else 1Don't know 05h ago0.76News coverage
●Global Strategy GroupGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan600 LVTiedTy Masterson 47Cindy Holscher 476d ago0.61Poll release
●The New York Times/Siena CollegeGeneral605 LVR+4.1Ty Masterson 48.52Cindy Holscher 44.38Don't know 6.74Someone else 0.360.48News coverage
●Emerson CollegeGeneral750 LVR+7.3Ty Masterson 50.82Cindy Holscher 43.48Don't know 5.70.45Poll release
●YouGovGeneral2,252 LVR+3.0Ty Masterson 47Cindy Holscher 44Don't know 7Someone else 1Would not vote 00.75Poll document
●Global Strategy GroupGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan800 LVD+3.0Cindy Holscher 49Ty Masterson 460.47Poll release
●co/efficientGeneral915 LVR+8.0Ty Masterson 51Cindy Holscher 43Don't know 60.47Poll release
●Global Strategy GroupGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan600 LVD+1.0Cindy Holscher 47Ty Masterson 460.28News coverage

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.