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FORECAST10 DAYS OUT

National environment

Published blendD+8.4Edition Oct 24, 2026
Generic ballot 52.9% weightD+7.7Polls through Oct 21, 2026 · support factor 0.88
Special elections 27.4% weightD+9.046 races · Oct 24, 2026
Approval contribution 19.8% weightD+9.3Polls through Oct 22, 2026

How the blend is calculated →

Each dot is one poll, sized by its model weight; excluded polls stay visible at zero weight. The line is one continuous model-adjusted line, ending exactly at the headline figure; where it sits away from a dot, that distance is the weighting.

How popular is the president?

−25.2net approval

1,435 public pollsUpdated Oct 24, 2026

Individual polls · area shows model weight Model estimate · the line breaks where the record does

Oct 24, 2026−25.2published model estimate

Every day before Sep 9, 2026, and any later day with no published reading, is reconstructed from the polls available on that date. The line ends on the current headline.

Oct 18–Oct 221d agoRasmussen Reports1,500 LV42%57%-15.01.1%
Oct 17–Oct 212d agoRasmussen Reports1,500 LV42%57%-15.01.1%
Oct 16–Oct 203d agoAmerican Research Institute1,100 A29%67%-38.00.9%
Oct 19–Oct 202d agoYouGov1,315 LV41%59%-18.01.0%
Oct 19–Oct 202d agoYouGov1,182 LV41%59%-18.01.0%
Oct 12–Oct 201d agoRMG Research2,000 RV42%57%-15.01.2%
Oct 16–Oct 203d agoAmerican Research Group1,100 A29%67%-38.00.9%
Oct 16–Oct 203d agoStrength in Numbers/Verasight2,028 A34%62%-28.01.3%

Which party do voters want in Congress?

D+7.7generic ballot

852 public pollsUpdated Oct 24, 2026

Individual polls · area shows model weight Model estimate · the line breaks where the record does

Oct 24, 2026D+7.7published model estimate

Every day before Sep 9, 2026, and any later day with no published reading, is reconstructed from the polls available on that date. The line ends on the current headline.

Oct 15–Oct 213d agoActiVote1,000 LV53.7%46.3%D+7.41.2%
Oct 19–Oct 202d agoYouGov1,312 LV50%43%D+7.00.4%
Oct 19–Oct 202d agoYouGov1,496 RV45%40%D+5.0—
Oct 19–Oct 202d agoYouGov1,179 LV52%43%D+9.0—
Oct 16–Oct 195d agoIpsos1,679 A40%29%D+11.0—
Oct 13–Oct 193d agoVerasight1,824 LV54%42%D+12.01.4%
Oct 16–Oct 195d agoIpsos1,279 RV47%35%D+12.00.6%
Oct 13–Oct 193d agoVerasight2,028 A50%40%D+10.0—