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FORECAST55 DAYS OUT

National environment

Published blendD+7.5Edition Sep 9, 2026
Generic ballot 51.8% weightD+6.3Polls through Sep 6, 2026 · support factor 0.82
Special elections 28.6% weightD+9.046 races · Sep 9, 2026
Approval contribution 19.6% weightD+8.6Polls through Sep 7, 2026

How the blend is calculated →

Each dot is one poll, sized by its model weight; excluded polls stay visible at zero weight. The line is one continuous model-adjusted line, ending exactly at the headline figure; where it sits away from a dot, that distance is the weighting.

How popular is the president?

−21.5net approval

1,341 public pollsUpdated Sep 9, 2026

Individual polls · area shows model weight Model estimate · the line breaks where the record does

Sep 9, 2026−21.5published model estimate

Before Sep 9, 2026, the line is a point-in-time reconstruction using only polls available at each date; it was not published then. Recorded editions continue the same line, whose endpoint is the current headline.

Sep 3–Sep 7Rasmussen Reports1,500 LV42%57%-15.0
Sep 4–Sep 6Morning Consult2,201 RV41.73%55.26%-13.5
Sep 2–Sep 6Rasmussen Reports1,500 LV43%57%-14.0
Aug 30–Sep 3Rasmussen Reports1,500 LV44%55%-11.0
Aug 28–Sep 2Focaldata1,837 LV35.82%58.95%-23.1
Aug 29–Sep 2Rasmussen Reports1,500 LV44%56%-12.0
Aug 28–Sep 2Focaldata2,180 A32.19%58.79%-26.6
Aug 28–Sep 2Focaldata1,914 RV33.45%59.38%-25.9

Which party do voters want in Congress?

D+6.3generic ballot

750 public pollsUpdated Sep 9, 2026

Individual polls · area shows model weight Model estimate · the line breaks where the record does

Sep 9, 2026D+6.3published model estimate

Before Sep 9, 2026, the line is a point-in-time reconstruction using only polls available at each date; it was not published then. Recorded editions continue the same line, whose endpoint is the current headline.

Aug 31–Sep 6Morning Consult29,427 RV46.3%42.2%D+4.1
Aug 28–Sep 2Focaldata1,914 RV48.72%42.26%D+6.5
Aug 28–Sep 2Focaldata1,837 LV51.98%44.92%D+7.1
Aug 28–Sep 2Focaldata2,180 A46.33%40.55%D+5.8
Aug 29–Sep 1The Honest Poll783 LV52%41%D+11.0
Aug 29–Sep 1The Honest Poll951 RV50%40%D+10.0
Aug 29–Sep 1The Honest Poll1,106 A47%38%D+9.0
Aug 28–Aug 31Ipsos1,167 A38%31%D+7.0