SenateD+1.2
U.S. House · projectedD 1 · R 1
GovernorD+12.7
2024 presidentD+6.9
Closest races
Projected delegation: D 1 · R 1
Context, not a 2026 forecast.
- 2024 result
- D+6.9
- 2020 result
- D+8.7
How Maine decides its electionsone exception
- U.S. Senate · U.S. HouseMaine — ranked-choice voting (federal offices)Our two-party margin is READ AS the final ranked-choice round rather than computed as one. No transfer or exhausted-ballot model exists. Maine's 2nd district in 2018 is the canonical race decided by transfers; the extra uncertainty that creates is carried only in the per-race error term, not as an explicit transfer model.