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FORECAST51 DAYS OUT
Race polling · SEN-ME

Maine Senate polls

Troy Jackson (D) vs Susan Collins (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateD+2.4same figure as the race page
Polls1111 recorded polls · 11 eligible for the aggregate · 11 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 10Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-10 (3 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+5EVEND+5D+10Aug ’26Sep
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 40

newest first

12 in the aggregate · 28 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedAddedSampleResultWeightSource
●Rasmussen ReportsGeneral · R sponsor · R partisan1,033 LVTroy Jackson 46Susan Collins 452h ago0.776Poll release
●YouGovGeneral · Senate1,335 LVTroy Jackson 48Susan Collins 44+2 other releases3d ago0.820Poll document
●CNN/SSRSGeneral880 LVTroy Jackson 48Susan Collins 45Neither 4Someone else 3Don't know 04d ago0.529News coverage
●SSRSGeneral880 LVTroy Jackson 48Susan Collins 453d ago0.534Poll document
●Abacus DataGeneral327 LVTroy Jackson 50Susan Collins 42Don't know 4Someone else 4+1 other release0.239Poll release
●Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchGeneral · Senate1,000 RVTroy Jackson 48Susan Collins 460.279News coverage
●Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchGeneral1,000 RVTroy Jackson 48Susan Collins 46Don't know 4Someone else 1Would not vote 00.279News coverage
●Hart Research AssociatesGeneral · Senate · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan802 LVTroy Jackson 49Susan Collins 45+1 other release0.154Poll document
●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral · Senate1,178 LVTroy Jackson 49Susan Collins 46+1 other release0.111Poll release
●Z to A ResearchGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan988 LVSusan Collins 48Troy Jackson 470.077News coverage
●Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan785 RVTroy Jackson 49Susan Collins 44Don't know 7+5 other releases0.085News coverage
●Wedgewood PollsGeneral405 LVSusan Collins 50Graham Platner 46Don't know 4+2 other releases0.046Poll document

Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.