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FORECAST51 DAYS OUT
Race polling · GOV-ME

Maine Governor polls

Hannah Pingree (D) vs Bobby Charles (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateD+12.7same figure as the race page
Polls33 recorded polls · 3 eligible for the aggregate · 3 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 6Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-06 (7 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+5EVEND+5D+10D+15D+20Jul ’26AugSep
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 9

newest first

4 in the aggregate · 5 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedAddedSampleResultWeightSource
YouGovGeneral · Governor1,334 LVHannah Pingree 47Bobby Charles 36Rick Bennett 2+2 other releases3d agonot in the aggregatePoll document
●CNN/SSRSGeneral880 LVHannah Pingree 52Bobby Charles 39Neither 5Someone else 4Don't know 04d ago0.529News coverage
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchGeneral · Governor1,000 RVHannah Pingree 49Bobby Charles 38Rick Bennett 9not in the aggregateNews coverage
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchGeneral1,000 RVHannah Pingree 49Bobby Charles 38Rick Bennett 9Don't know 3Would not vote 0Someone else 0not in the aggregateNews coverage
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral · Governor1,178 LVHannah Pingree 49Bobby Charles 35Rick Bennett 6+1 other releasenot in the aggregatePoll release
●Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchGeneral · Governor1,003 RVHannah Pingree 53Bobby Charles 420.054News coverage
●Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchGeneral1,003 RVHannah Pingree 53Bobby Charles 420.054News coverage
●The New York Times/Siena CollegeGeneral · Governor608 LVHannah Pingree 50Bobby Charles 36Rick Bennett 8+3 other releases0.054News coverage
The Public Sentiment InstituteGeneral · Governor497 LVNirav Shah 47Robert Charles 31not in the aggregatePollster post

Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.