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Forecast6 days out
Race polling · GOV-ME

Maine Governor polls 2026

Hannah Pingree (D) vs Bobby Charles (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

How the forecast reads these polls

the same figures as the race page

The forecast read the 15 polls below that named every candidate for the candidates’ shares in this race. This edition does not publish each candidate’s share in them.

Poll averageD+10.7the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls2020 on file · 18 in the poll average · 1 read for candidate shares · 1 not counted
Latest field dateOct 25Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-25 (3 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026D+10.7today's poll average of 18 polls

R+5EvenD+5D+10D+15D+20Jul ’26AugSepOct
  • poll in the average · area is its weight
  • trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table
The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
DaysAverage as it stoodTrend line
Oct 28, 2026D+10.7D+10.7
Oct 25–Oct 27, 2026D+10.7D+10.7
Oct 23–Oct 24, 2026D+11.6D+10.8
Oct 20–Oct 22, 2026D+11.5D+11.0 to D+10.9
Oct 11–Oct 19, 2026D+11.6D+11.6 to D+11.0
Oct 5–Oct 10, 2026D+11.7D+11.7 to D+11.6
Oct 4, 2026D+11.5D+11.7
Oct 1–Oct 3, 2026D+11.4D+11.6 to D+11.7
Sep 30, 2026D+11.4D+11.6
Sep 22–Sep 29, 2026D+11.8D+11.7 to D+11.6
Sep 21, 2026D+11.4D+11.7
Sep 14–Sep 20, 2026D+12.1D+11.8 to D+11.7
Sep 8–Sep 13, 2026D+12.4D+12.2 to D+11.8
Sep 6–Sep 7, 2026D+13.0D+12.3
Aug 10–Sep 5, 2026D+13.1D+13.1 to D+12.4
Jul 20–Aug 9, 2026D+13.5D+13.5 to D+13.1
Jun 27–Jul 19, 2026D+13.1D+13.1 to D+13.5
Jun 26, 2026D+15.8D+13.1

In governor races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which leaves the average it reads the same for this race.

Every poll on file · 20

newest added first

18 in the poll average · 1 read for candidate shares only (15 in all, each marked “every candidate named”; the others are also in the poll average) · 1 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
●Marist UniversityGeneral · Governor1,449 LVTiedHannah Pingree 44Bobby Charles 44Rick Bennett 6+1 other release1d ago0.97Poll release
●Echelon InsightsGeneral413 LVD+13.0Hannah Pingree 51Bobby Charles 38Rick Bennett 7Don't know 3Would not vote 1Someone else 01d ago0.52Poll release
●Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchGeneral1,514 LVD+10.0Hannah Pingree 49Bobby Charles 39Rick Bennett 9Don't know 2Would not vote 0Someone else 0+1 other release5d ago0.91News coverage
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchGeneral1,514not loggedread for the candidates' sharesno link
●The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and GovernmentGeneral800 LVD+13.0Hannah Pingree 49Bobby Charles 36Rick Bennett 11Don't know 3Would not vote 2Someone else 00.59News coverage
●Marist UniversityGeneral1,505 RVD+12.0Hannah Pingree 52Bobby Charles 40Rick Bennett 6Don't know 2Someone else 00.76Poll release
●co/efficientGeneral1,240 LVD+9.0Hannah Pingree 47Bobby Charles 38Don't know 9Rick Bennett 60.69Poll release
●The New York Times/Siena CollegeGeneral · Governor619 LVD+13.0Hannah Pingree 47Bobby Charles 34Rick Bennett 8+1 other release0.45News coverage
●Fabrizio Ward/Impact ResearchGeneral982 LVD+13.0Hannah Pingree 52Bobby Charles 39Rick Bennett 6Don't know 3Someone else 00.56Poll release
●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral1,312 LVD+8.0Hannah Pingree 48Bobby Charles 40Don't know 5Rick Bennett 5Someone else 20.64Poll release
●University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovGeneral650 LVD+11.0Hannah Pingree 49Bobby Charles 38Don't know 10Would not vote 2Someone else 10.42Poll release
●Suffolk UniversityGeneral500 LVD+11.0Hannah Pingree 49Bobby Charles 38Rick Bennett 8Don't know 50.50Poll release

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.