Maryland
Explore Maryland on The Map ↗SenateNo 2026 race
U.S. House · projectedD 7 · R 1
GovernorD+30.1
2024 presidentD+28.8
Forecast as of October 28, 2026. Governor: Wes Moore ahead of Dan Cox by D+30.1, with a 99 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 7 of the state's 8 districts and Republicans in 1.
Closest races
No U.S. Senate seat in Maryland is on the 2026 ballot. The national forecast covers 35 Senate elections.
Projected delegation: D 7 · R 1
MD-01Andy Harris vs. Dan SchwartzR+10.9MD-02Johnny Olszewski vs. Dave WallaceD+29.6MD-03Sarah Elfreth vs. Berney FlowersD+33.0MD-04Glenn Ivey vs. George McDermottD+78.3MD-05Adrian Boafo vs. Chris ChaffeeD+39.6MD-06April McClain Delaney vs. Robin FickerD+19.2MD-07Kweisi Mfume vs. Scott CollierD+65.8MD-08Jamie Raskin vs. Cheryl RileyD+61.6
Context, not a 2026 forecast.
- 2024 result
- D+28.8
- 2020 result
- D+33.2