SenateR+1.5
U.S. House · projectedD 0 · R 1
GovernorD+25.2
2024 presidentR+13.8
Closest races
Projected delegation: D 0 · R 1
Context, not a 2026 forecast.
- 2024 result
- R+13.8
- 2020 result
- R+9.3
How Alaska decides its electionsone exception
- U.S. Senate · U.S. House · GovernorAlaska — top-four primary, ranked-choice generalOur two-party margin is READ AS the final ranked-choice round rather than computed as one. There is no transfer model and no exhausted-ballot allowance: four federal ranked-choice races since 2020 is too little evidence to fit that behaviour, and the model lane's own ledger parks it for that reason. The first-choice ordering is therefore unforecast.