New York

SenateNo 2026 race

U.S. House · projectedD 20 · R 6

GovernorD+12.0

2024 presidentD+12.7

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. Governor: Kathy Hochul ahead of Bruce Blakeman by D+12.0, with a 97 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 20 of the state's 26 districts and Republicans in 6.

Closest races

NY-17Cait Conley vs. Mike LawlerToss-upD+0.2 NY-01Nick LaLota vs. Chris GallantLean RR+2.4 NY-21Anthony Constantino vs. Blake GendebienLean RR+3.6 NY-02Andrew Garbarino vs. Patrick HalpinLikely RR+7.5

Projected delegation: D 20 · R 6

NY-01Nick LaLota vs. Chris GallantLean RR+2.4 NY-02Andrew Garbarino vs. Patrick HalpinLikely RR+7.5 NY-03Tom Suozzi vs. Mike LiPetriLikely DD+12.0 NY-04Laura Gillen vs. Jeanine DriscollSolid DD+14.2 NY-05Gregory Meeks vs. George MarshSolid DD+49.1 NY-06Grace Meng vs. Joseph ChouSolid DD+24.1 NY-07Claire Valdez vs. Melvin RiveraSolid DD+52.2 NY-08Hakeem Jeffries vs. Lewis MizrahiSolid DD+52.4 NY-09Yvette Clarke vs. Joel Anabilah-AzumahSolid DD+49.7 NY-10Brad Lander vs. Jennifer MooreSolid DD+62.9 NY-11Nicole Malliotakis vs. Michael DeCillisSolid RR+15.6 NY-12Micah Lasher vs. Caroline ShinkleSolid DD+62.5 NY-13Darializa Avila Chevalier vs. Jomo WilliamsSolid DD+62.6 NY-14Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez vs. Diamant HysenajSolid DD+41.5 NY-15Ritchie Torres vs. Stylo SapaskisSolid DD+56.3 NY-16George Latimer vs. Joseph CinquemaniSolid DD+44.2 NY-17Cait Conley vs. Mike LawlerToss-upD+0.2 NY-18Pat Ryan vs. Jackie AuringerSolid DD+16.4 NY-19Josh Riley vs. Peter OberackerSolid DD+14.4 NY-20Paul Tonko vs. Ralph AmbrosioSolid DD+27.5 NY-21Anthony Constantino vs. Blake GendebienLean RR+3.6 NY-22John Mannion vs. Kailee BullerSolid DD+19.7 NY-23Nick Langworthy vs. Aaron GiesSolid RR+17.7 NY-24Claudia Tenney vs. Alissa EllmanSolid RR+16.1 NY-25Joseph Morelle vs. Virginia McIntyreSolid DD+29.4 NY-26Tim Kennedy vs. Dennis HannonSolid DD+33.0