Pennsylvania

SenateNo 2026 race

U.S. House · projectedD 10 · R 7

GovernorD+22.6

2024 presidentR+1.7

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. Governor: Josh Shapiro ahead of Stacy Garrity by D+22.6, with a 99 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 10 of the state's 17 districts and Republicans in 7.

Closest races

PA-10FlipJanelle Stelson vs. Scott PerryTilt DD+1.4 PA-01Brian Fitzpatrick vs. Bob HarvieLean RR+2.0 PA-08FlipRob Bresnahan vs. Paige CognettiLean DD+2.2 PA-07FlipBob Brooks vs. Ryan MackenzieLean DD+3.8

Projected delegation: D 10 · R 7

PA-01Brian Fitzpatrick vs. Bob HarvieLean RR+2.0 PA-02Brendan Boyle vs. Jessica ArriagaSolid DD+43.6 PA-03Chris RabbSolid DD+76.0 PA-04Madeleine Dean vs. Aurora StuskiSolid DD+25.0 PA-05Mary Gay Scanlon vs. Nicholas ManganaroSolid DD+35.6 PA-06Chrissy Houlahan vs. Marty YoungSolid DD+20.8 PA-07FlipBob Brooks vs. Ryan MackenzieLean DD+3.8 PA-08FlipRob Bresnahan vs. Paige CognettiLean DD+2.2 PA-09Dan Meuser vs. Rachel WallaceSolid RR+28.8 PA-10FlipJanelle Stelson vs. Scott PerryTilt DD+1.4 PA-11Lloyd Smucker vs. Nancy MannionSolid RR+15.4 PA-12Summer Lee vs. James HayesSolid DD+24.8 PA-13John Joyce vs. Beth FarnhamSolid RR+35.4 PA-14Guy Reschenthaler vs. Alan BradstockSolid RR+23.8 PA-15Glenn Thompson vs. Ray BilgerSolid RR+29.6 PA-16Mike Kelly vs. Justin WagnerSolid RR+16.6 PA-17Chris Deluzio vs. Tony GuySolid DD+16.2