Alabama

SenateR+17.9

U.S. House · projectedD 1 · R 6

GovernorR+11.5

2024 presidentR+30.6

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Barry Moore ahead of Everett Wess by R+17.9, with a 99 in 100 chance to win. Governor: Tommy Tuberville ahead of Doug Jones by R+11.5, with a 95 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 1 of the state's 7 districts and Republicans in 6.

Closest races

AL-02FlipRhett Marques vs. Shomari FiguresLean RR+2.6 GovernorDoug Jones vs. Tommy TubervilleLikely RR+11.5 U.S. SenateEverett Wess vs. Barry MooreSolid RR+17.9 AL-05Dale Strong vs. Andrew SneedSolid RR+22.9

Projected delegation: D 1 · R 6

AL-01Jerry Carl vs. Clyde JonesSolid RR+25.9 AL-02FlipRhett Marques vs. Shomari FiguresLean RR+2.6 AL-03Mike Rogers vs. Lee McInnisSolid RR+37.9 AL-04Robert Aderholt vs. Amanda PusczekSolid RR+55.8 AL-05Dale Strong vs. Andrew SneedSolid RR+22.9 AL-06Gary Palmer vs. Maurice MercerSolid RR+27.9 AL-07Terri Sewell vs. Ammie AkinSolid DD+23.6