Senate
Chance of D control>99 in 100
Democrats are favored to hold control. Democrats hold 15 of 21 seats today.
Expected Democratic seats 15.0 of 21 · 80% range 14–16
See all 21 districts →One state, every federal race and the provisional balance of power in its capitol.
Counties colored by the projected margin — the 2024 result shifted by the state's projected swing, summing exactly to the forecast above. Hover a county for its numbers.
| New Castle | 115,674 (66.7%) | 53,602 (30.9%) | D+35.8 | 173,439 |
| Sussex | 41,487 (44.7%) | 49,091 (52.9%) | R+8.2 | 92,805 |
| Kent | 28,496 (51.4%) | 25,579 (46.2%) | D+5.3 | 55,405 |
Model benchmark — the 2024 result shifted by the state's projected swing, summing exactly to the forecast.
Both chambers carry the Call the Map state legislature forecast — the same model the Chamber Board publishes.
Democrats are favored to hold control. Democrats hold 15 of 21 seats today.
Expected Democratic seats 15.0 of 21 · 80% range 14–16
See all 21 districts →Democrats are favored to hold control. Democrats hold 27 of 41 seats today.
Expected Democratic seats 29.6 of 41 · 80% range 28–31
See all 41 districts →Chamber-by-chamber detail for every state lives on the full Chamber Board. Control today: NCSL · 2026 State & Legislative Partisan Composition · Jan. 27, 2026
Counties colored by the actual 2024 presidential result — counted votes, not a projection. Hover a county for its numbers.
The county tables and shift arrows across this site measure against these baselines. No president is on the 2026 ballot; this is the reference line every other race here is measured against.
Ballot measures — coming with the Ballotpedia layer.
Trifecta nowDemocratic trifecta
| Chamber | Now | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Senate | D | D |
| House | D | D |