Michigan

SenateD+1.3

U.S. House · projectedD 7 · R 6

GovernorD+6.3

2024 presidentR+1.4

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Abdul El-Sayed ahead of Mike Rogers by D+1.3, with a 59 in 100 chance to win. Governor: Jocelyn Benson ahead of John James by D+6.3, with an 84 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 7 of the state's 13 districts and Republicans in 6.

Closest races

U.S. SenateAbdul El-Sayed vs. Mike RogersTilt DD+1.3 MI-04Bill Huizenga vs. Sean McCannLean RR+2.3 MI-10Michael Bouchard Jr. vs. Christina HinesLean RR+3.1 MI-07FlipWilliam Lawrence vs. Tom BarrettLean DD+3.4

Projected delegation: D 7 · R 6

MI-01Jack Bergman vs. Callie BarrSolid RR+13.8 MI-02John Moolenaar vs. Benjamin AmbroseSolid RR+22.4 MI-03Hillary Scholten vs. Terri DeBoerSolid DD+17.5 MI-04Bill Huizenga vs. Sean McCannLean RR+2.3 MI-05Tim Walberg vs. Christian VukasovichSolid RR+20.6 MI-06Debbie Dingell vs. Heather SmileySolid DD+31.2 MI-07FlipWilliam Lawrence vs. Tom BarrettLean DD+3.4 MI-08Kristen McDonald Rivet vs. Tom SmithLikely DD+11.6 MI-09Lisa McClain vs. Ray PooleySolid RR+24.7 MI-10Michael Bouchard Jr. vs. Christina HinesLean RR+3.1 MI-11Jeremy Moss vs. Ethan BakerSolid DD+21.5 MI-12Rashida Tlaib vs. James D. HooperSolid DD+44.1 MI-13Donavan McKinney vs. T.P. NykoriakSolid DD+41.9