Oregon

SenateD+29.6

U.S. House · projectedD 5 · R 1

GovernorR+0.8

2024 presidentD+14.4

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Jeff Merkley ahead of David Brock Smith by D+29.6, with a 99 in 100 chance to win. Governor: Christine Drazan ahead of Tina Kotek by R+0.8, with a 56 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 5 of the state's 6 districts and Republicans in 1.

Closest races

GovernorFlipTina Kotek vs. Christine DrazanTilt RR+0.8 OR-05Janelle Bynum vs. Patti AdairSolid DD+16.5 OR-02Cliff Bentz vs. Chris BeckSolid RR+19.0 OR-06Andrea Salinas vs. David RussSolid DD+19.5

Projected delegation: D 5 · R 1

OR-01Suzanne Bonamici vs. Barbara KahlSolid DD+44.3 OR-02Cliff Bentz vs. Chris BeckSolid RR+19.0 OR-03Maxine Dexter vs. Loran AylesSolid DD+48.2 OR-04Val Hoyle vs. Monique DeSpainSolid DD+19.6 OR-05Janelle Bynum vs. Patti AdairSolid DD+16.5 OR-06Andrea Salinas vs. David RussSolid DD+19.5