Kentucky

SenateR+14.0

U.S. House · projectedD 2 · R 4

GovernorNo 2026 race

2024 presidentR+30.6

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Andy Barr ahead of Charles Booker by R+14.0, with a 93 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 2 of the state's 6 districts and Republicans in 4.

Closest races

KY-06FlipZach Dembo vs. Ralph AlvaradoTilt DD+1.0 U.S. SenateCharles Booker vs. Andy BarrLikely RR+14.0 KY-04Ed Gallrein vs. Melissa StrangeSolid RR+25.3 KY-03Morgan McGarvey vs. Maria RodriguezSolid DD+26.0

Projected delegation: D 2 · R 4

KY-01James Comer vs. John WilliamsSolid RR+39.0 KY-02Brett Guthrie vs. Megan WingfieldSolid RR+35.0 KY-03Morgan McGarvey vs. Maria RodriguezSolid DD+26.0 KY-04Ed Gallrein vs. Melissa StrangeSolid RR+25.3 KY-05Hal Rogers vs. Ned PillersdorfSolid RR+54.9 KY-06FlipZach Dembo vs. Ralph AlvaradoTilt DD+1.0