Call
the Map
FORECAST51 DAYS OUT
Race polling · SEN-KY

Kentucky Senate polls

Charles Booker (D) vs Andy Barr (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateR+12.0same figure as the race page
Polls22 recorded polls · 2 eligible for the aggregate · 2 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 27Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-27 (17 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+15R+10R+5EVEND+5Jan ’26MarMayJulSep
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 2

newest first

2 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedAddedSampleResultWeightSource
Global Strategy GroupGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan600 LVAndy Barr 49Charles Booker 405d ago0.254Poll release
Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan650 RVNate Morris 41Charles Booker 40Don't know 19+4 other releases0.000Poll release

Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.