Illinois

SenateD+16.1

U.S. House · projectedD 14 · R 3

GovernorD+20.1

2024 presidentD+11.0

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Juliana Stratton ahead of Don Tracy by D+16.1, with a 98 in 100 chance to win. Governor: JB Pritzker ahead of Darren Bailey by D+20.1, with a 99 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 14 of the state's 17 districts and Republicans in 3.

Closest races

IL-16Darin LaHood vs. Paul NolleySolid RR+14.2 U.S. SenateJuliana Stratton vs. Don TracySolid DD+16.1 IL-08Melissa Bean vs. Jennifer DavisSolid DD+17.5 IL-17Eric Sorensen vs. Dillan VancilSolid DD+17.9

Projected delegation: D 14 · R 3

IL-01Jonathan Jackson vs. Christian MaxwellSolid DD+39.3 IL-02Donna Miller vs. Michael NoackSolid DD+37.7 IL-03Delia Ramirez vs. Angel OakleySolid DD+39.9 IL-04Patty Garcia vs. Lupe CastilloSolid DD+32.2 IL-05Mike Quigley vs. Tommy HansonSolid DD+43.7 IL-06Sean Casten vs. Niki ConfortiSolid DD+18.1 IL-07La Shawn Ford vs. Chad KoppieSolid DD+65.3 IL-08Melissa Bean vs. Jennifer DavisSolid DD+17.5 IL-09Daniel Biss vs. John EllesonSolid DD+39.9 IL-10Brad Schneider vs. Carl LambrechtSolid DD+30.3 IL-11Bill Foster vs. Jeff WalterSolid DD+21.9 IL-12Mike Bost vs. Julie FortierSolid RR+32.7 IL-13Nikki Budzinski vs. Jeff WilsonSolid DD+23.3 IL-14Lauren Underwood vs. James MarterSolid DD+18.6 IL-15Mary Miller vs. Jennifer ToddSolid RR+29.1 IL-16Darin LaHood vs. Paul NolleySolid RR+14.2 IL-17Eric Sorensen vs. Dillan VancilSolid DD+17.9