SenateR+9.7
U.S. House · projectedD 0 · R 2
GovernorR+21.5
2024 presidentR+36.5
Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Jim Risch ahead of Todd Achilles by 9.7 points, with a 92 in 100 chance to lead. Governor: Brad Little ahead of Terri Pickens by 21.5 points, with a 99 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 0 of the state's 2 districts and Republicans in 2.
Closest races
Projected delegation: D 0 · R 2
Context, not a 2026 forecast.
- 2024 result
- R+36.5
- 2020 result
- R+30.8