Mississippi

SenateR+9.1

U.S. House · projectedD 1 · R 3

GovernorNo 2026 race

2024 presidentR+22.9

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Cindy Hyde-Smith ahead of Scott Colom by 9.1 points, with an 85 in 100 chance to lead. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 1 of the state's 4 districts and Republicans in 3.

Closest races

U.S. SenateScott Colom vs. Cindy Hyde-SmithLikely RR+9.1 MS-03Michael Guest vs. Michael ChiaradioSolid RR+24.1 MS-02Bennie Thompson vs. Ron EllerSolid DD+26.5 MS-01Trent Kelly vs. Cliff JohnsonSolid RR+30.6

Projected delegation: D 1 · R 3

MS-01Trent Kelly vs. Cliff JohnsonSolid RR+30.6 MS-02Bennie Thompson vs. Ron EllerSolid DD+26.5 MS-03Michael Guest vs. Michael ChiaradioSolid RR+24.1 MS-04Mike Ezell vs. Jeffrey Hulum IIISolid RR+36.1