Mississippi Senate polls 2026
Scott Colom (D) vs Cindy Hyde-Smith (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
How the forecast reads these polls
the same figures as the race pageThe forecast reads this race two ways and publishes a figure halfway between the two: a weighted average of the 3 polls below that named every candidate puts Hyde-Smith ahead by 6.4 points, its usual method puts Hyde-Smith ahead by 11.8 points, which gives Hyde-Smith ahead by 9.1 points.
In those polls Ty Pinkins averages 7.1%.
The poll average
3 polls countedThe poll average, R+3.9, is of three polls, which run from R+3.0 to R+6.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In Senate races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at a quarter of its weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+5.9.
Every poll on file · 4
newest added first3 in the poll average · 1 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Change ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan · for Government that Works PAC | from Oct 21 | 842 LV | R+3.0Cindy Hyde-Smith 43Scott Colom 40Don't know 9Ty Pinkins 6Would not vote 2every candidate namedCindy Hyde-Smith 48.3Scott Colom 44.9Ty Pinkins 6.7 | 5d ago | 0.74 | News coverage |
| ●Data for ProgressGeneral · Senate · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan · for Way to Lead PAC | from Aug 5 | 1,018 LV | R+6.0Cindy Hyde-Smith 47Scott Colom 41+1 other releaseevery candidate namedCindy Hyde-Smith 49.4Scott Colom 42.7Ty Pinkins 7.9 | 0.37 | Pollster post | |
| ●Impact ResearchGeneral · Senate · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan · for SPLC Action Fund | from Apr 8 | 500 LV | R+3.0Cindy Hyde-Smith 47Scott Colom 44+2 other releasesevery candidate namedCindy Hyde-Smith 48.3Scott Colom 44.8Ty Pinkins 6.9 | 0.06 | Poll document | |
| Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 500 LV | Generic Candidate 46Cindy Hyde-Smith 38Don't know 16 | tests a different matchup | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.