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FORECAST51 DAYS OUT
Race polling · SEN-MS

Mississippi Senate polls

Scott Colom (D) vs Cindy Hyde-Smith (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateR+9.0same figure as the race page
Polls11 recorded poll · 1 eligible for the aggregate · 1 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 15Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-15 (29 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+10R+5EVEND+5Sep ’26
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 3

newest first

1 in the aggregate · 2 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedAddedSampleResultWeightSource
Data for ProgressGeneral · Senate · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan1,018 LVCindy Hyde-Smith 47Scott Colom 41+2 other releases0.319Pollster post
Impact ResearchGeneral · Senate · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan500 LVCindy Hyde-Smith 47Scott Colom 44+2 other releasesnot in the aggregatePoll document
Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan500 LVGeneric Candidate 46Cindy Hyde-Smith 38Don't know 16not in the aggregatePoll release

Archive source date 2026-09-11 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.