Washington
Explore Washington on The Map ↗SenateNo 2026 race
U.S. House · projectedD 8 · R 2
GovernorNo 2026 race
2024 presidentD+18.3
Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 8 of the state's 10 districts and Republicans in 2.
Closest races
No U.S. Senate seat in Washington is on the 2026 ballot. The national forecast covers 35 Senate elections.
Projected delegation: D 8 · R 2
WA-01Suzan DelBene vs. Mary SilvaD+35.8WA-02Rick Larsen vs. Edwin H. FellerD+34.0WA-03Marie Gluesenkamp Perez vs. John BraunD+1.4WA-04Amanda McKinney vs. John DureskyR+9.0WA-05Michael Baumgartner vs. Carmela ConroyR+6.6WA-06Emily Randall vs. Teresa FoxD+26.8WA-07Pramila Jayapal vs. Nirav ShethD+74.2WA-08Kim Schrier vs. Spencer MelineD+18.4WA-09Adam Smith vs. Doug BaslerD+48.8WA-10Marilyn Strickland vs. Chris D. ChungD+27.4
The Washington governorship is not on the 2026 ballot; it is currently held by a Democrat.
Context, not a 2026 forecast.
- 2024 result
- D+18.3
- 2020 result
- D+19.2
How Washington decides its electionsone exception
- U.S. HouseWashington — top-two primaryThe general election is a single round, so a lead probability is a win probability — but only where the two finalists are of different parties.