Oklahoma

SenateR+22.7

U.S. House · projectedD 0 · R 5

GovernorR+8.9

2024 presidentR+34.3

Forecast as of October 28, 2026. U.S. Senate: Kevin Hern ahead of N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas by R+22.7, with a 99 in 100 chance to win. Governor: Mike Mazzei ahead of Cyndi Munson by R+8.9, with an 89 in 100 chance to win. U.S. House: Democrats are favored in 0 of the state's 5 districts and Republicans in 5.

Closest races

GovernorCyndi Munson vs. Mike MazzeiLikely RR+8.9 OK-05Stephanie Bice vs. Jena NelsonLikely RR+10.5 OK-01Mark Tedford vs. John CroisantSolid RR+14.3 U.S. SenateN'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas vs. Kevin HernSolid RR+22.7

Projected delegation: D 0 · R 5

OK-01Mark Tedford vs. John CroisantSolid RR+14.3 OK-02Josh Brecheen vs. Brandon WadeSolid RR+43.4 OK-03Frank Lucas vs. Suzie ByrdSolid RR+38.0 OK-04Tom Cole vs. Mitchell JacobSolid RR+27.4 OK-05Stephanie Bice vs. Jena NelsonLikely RR+10.5