FORECAST51 DAYS OUT

Georgia

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SenateD+8.5

U.S. House · projectedD 5 · R 9

GovernorD+2.0

2024 presidentR+2.2

Closest races

GovernorFLIPKeisha Lance Bottoms vs Rick JacksonTilt DD+2.0 U.S. SenateJon Ossoff vs Mike CollinsLikely DD+8.5 GA-01Jim Kingston vs Amanda HollowellLikely RR+9.4 GA-12Rick Allen vs Ceretta SmithLikely RR+10.8

Projected delegation: D 5 · R 9

GA-01Jim Kingston vs Amanda HollowellLikely RR+9.4 GA-02Sanford Bishop vs Matt DaySolid DD+18.3 GA-03Brian Jack vs Maura KellerSolid RR+22.6 GA-04Hank Johnson vs James DuffieSolid DD+54.1 GA-05Nikema Williams vs John SalvesenSolid DD+71.2 GA-06Lucy McBath vs Kevin MartinSolid DD+51.9 GA-07Rich McCormick vs Anthony KozyckiLikely RR+11.3 GA-08Austin Scott vs Kelly EstiSolid RR+24.9 GA-09Andrew Clyde vs Caitlyn GegenSolid RR+26.6 GA-10Houston Gaines vs Pamela DeLancySolid RR+12.6 GA-11John Cowan vs Chris HardenSolid RR+16.9 GA-12Rick Allen vs Ceretta SmithLikely RR+10.8 GA-13Jasmine Clark vs Jonathan ChavezSolid DD+46.3 GA-14Clay Fuller vs Shawn HarrisSolid RR+24.6

How Georgia decides its electionsone exception

U.S. Senate · U.S. House · GovernorGeorgia — a majority is required runoff December 1, 2026Our forecast simulates the November vote. It does not simulate the runoff: we have no governed model of how a third candidate's voters behave four weeks later, or of runoff turnout, so we publish the November result and the chance a runoff is needed, and we do not publish an ultimate win probability.