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The States · 2026 outlook

Georgia

One state, every federal race and the provisional balance of power in its capitol.

2024 presidentR+2.2
SenateD+6.0
U.S. HouseD 5R 9
GovernorD+1.6
County by county · U.S. Senateprojected margin
County view
Projected margin
R+40R+20EvenD+20D+40
Striped = seat changes partyProjected county outcome

Counties colored by the projected margin — the 2024 result shifted by the state's projected swing, summing exactly to the forecast above. Hover a county for its numbers.

County numbers

Fulton301,048 (75.5%)91,462 (23.0%)D+52.6398,487
Gwinnett195,668 (62.5%)112,833 (36.0%)D+26.4313,199
Cobb182,093 (60.9%)112,246 (37.6%)D+23.4298,821
DeKalb230,813 (84.7%)37,595 (13.8%)D+70.9272,495
Cherokee40,740 (33.7%)78,267 (64.8%)R+31.1120,819
Chatham66,025 (62.8%)37,455 (35.7%)D+27.2105,056
Forsyth37,989 (36.9%)63,394 (61.6%)R+24.7102,927
Henry64,202 (66.8%)30,423 (31.7%)D+35.296,066
Clayton71,744 (86.2%)10,191 (12.3%)D+74.083,183
Hall23,880 (31.5%)50,900 (67.0%)R+35.675,919
Paulding28,750 (40.6%)41,061 (57.9%)R+17.470,874
Columbia26,105 (40.8%)36,903 (57.7%)R+16.963,968
Coweta23,037 (36.0%)39,969 (62.5%)R+26.563,965
Richmond44,423 (71.4%)16,868 (27.1%)D+44.362,224
Houston29,045 (47.9%)30,733 (50.6%)R+2.860,688
Muscogee39,148 (65.3%)19,879 (33.2%)D+32.259,926
Fayette28,419 (51.1%)26,313 (47.4%)D+3.855,565
Douglas35,629 (67.7%)16,233 (30.8%)D+36.852,652
Bibb33,542 (65.1%)17,191 (33.4%)D+31.751,506
Carroll15,053 (33.4%)29,309 (65.1%)R+31.745,038
Newton26,386 (60.0%)16,919 (38.5%)D+21.543,964
Walton12,640 (29.1%)30,169 (69.4%)R+40.343,461
Bartow11,772 (27.5%)30,429 (71.0%)R+43.542,844
Clarke28,890 (73.4%)9,894 (25.1%)D+48.239,375
Lowndes16,665 (46.8%)18,385 (51.7%)R+4.835,584
Jackson8,490 (24.1%)26,155 (74.4%)R+50.235,173
Rockdale25,199 (74.9%)7,919 (23.6%)D+51.433,622
Floyd10,852 (32.6%)21,956 (65.9%)R+33.333,308
Barrow10,511 (32.1%)21,707 (66.4%)R+34.232,709
Glynn13,622 (41.7%)18,581 (56.8%)R+15.232,693
Whitfield9,550 (32.2%)19,657 (66.3%)R+34.129,652
Effingham7,620 (28.2%)18,959 (70.3%)R+42.026,984
Catoosa6,450 (24.7%)19,245 (73.8%)R+49.126,086
Dougherty18,370 (72.9%)6,453 (25.6%)D+47.325,201
Spalding10,920 (44.4%)13,308 (54.1%)R+9.724,597
Bulloch9,942 (40.9%)14,006 (57.6%)R+16.724,313
Walker5,442 (22.8%)18,088 (75.7%)R+52.923,888
Troup9,885 (42.4%)13,071 (56.1%)R+13.723,306
Gordon4,290 (20.9%)15,955 (77.6%)R+56.820,553
Oconee7,364 (36.2%)12,646 (62.2%)R+26.020,315
Camden7,310 (37.2%)12,045 (61.3%)R+24.119,650
Bryan6,540 (35.6%)11,538 (62.9%)R+27.218,353
Laurens6,739 (38.8%)10,386 (59.7%)R+21.017,386
Habersham3,470 (20.0%)13,602 (78.5%)R+58.517,332
Liberty11,064 (64.5%)5,823 (34.0%)D+30.617,144
Harris5,107 (30.7%)11,285 (67.8%)R+37.116,642
Thomas7,114 (43.3%)9,078 (55.2%)R+12.016,439
Pickens2,985 (19.2%)12,352 (79.3%)R+60.215,571
Dawson2,712 (18.6%)11,633 (79.9%)R+61.214,563
Polk3,336 (23.4%)10,723 (75.1%)R+51.814,273
Baldwin7,560 (53.9%)6,245 (44.6%)D+9.414,015
Gilmer2,853 (20.7%)10,700 (77.8%)R+57.013,759
Union2,780 (20.9%)10,332 (77.6%)R+56.713,312
Lumpkin2,993 (22.6%)10,066 (75.9%)R+53.313,258
Monroe4,099 (31.1%)8,884 (67.4%)R+36.313,181
Lee4,103 (31.2%)8,865 (67.3%)R+36.213,165
Murray2,186 (16.8%)10,624 (81.7%)R+64.913,005
Tift4,601 (36.4%)7,857 (62.1%)R+25.712,648
White2,306 (18.4%)10,032 (80.1%)R+61.712,526
Madison3,237 (25.9%)9,074 (72.6%)R+46.712,498
Colquitt3,581 (29.0%)8,600 (69.5%)R+40.612,367
Haralson1,771 (14.5%)10,229 (84.0%)R+69.412,183
Fannin2,389 (19.9%)9,415 (78.6%)R+58.611,984
Jones4,295 (35.8%)7,506 (62.6%)R+26.811,981
Coffee3,793 (32.4%)7,732 (66.1%)R+33.711,700
Ware3,497 (32.6%)7,057 (65.9%)R+33.210,715
Hart2,895 (27.1%)7,615 (71.4%)R+44.210,670
Upson3,604 (35.4%)6,414 (63.1%)R+27.610,171
Wayne2,378 (23.6%)7,567 (75.0%)R+51.410,096
Peach5,143 (51.3%)4,724 (47.2%)D+4.210,017
Morgan3,101 (31.6%)6,565 (66.9%)R+35.39,813
Stephens2,169 (22.2%)7,437 (76.3%)R+54.09,752
Butts3,021 (31.2%)6,527 (67.3%)R+36.29,693
Putnam3,131 (32.7%)6,312 (65.8%)R+33.29,587
Greene3,812 (40.0%)5,564 (58.5%)R+18.49,519
Pike1,471 (15.7%)7,732 (82.8%)R+67.09,343
Franklin1,489 (16.5%)7,413 (82.0%)R+65.69,038
Sumter5,006 (55.8%)3,830 (42.7%)D+13.18,971
Meriwether3,746 (42.7%)4,898 (55.8%)R+13.18,776
Decatur3,795 (44.1%)4,674 (54.4%)R+10.28,598
Burke4,264 (51.7%)3,854 (46.8%)D+5.08,242
Toombs2,393 (29.5%)5,609 (69.0%)R+39.68,124
Grady2,912 (36.5%)4,948 (62.0%)R+25.57,980
Chattooga1,665 (20.9%)6,186 (77.6%)R+56.77,971
McDuffie3,391 (43.2%)4,336 (55.3%)R+12.17,845
Banks965 (12.3%)6,749 (86.2%)R+73.97,831
Rabun1,864 (24.0%)5,780 (74.5%)R+50.57,760
Lamar2,468 (31.8%)5,168 (66.7%)R+34.87,752
Pierce982 (13.5%)6,176 (85.0%)R+71.57,267
Emanuel2,368 (33.1%)4,686 (65.4%)R+32.47,161
Elbert2,421 (33.9%)4,611 (64.6%)R+30.77,139
Washington3,804 (53.8%)3,158 (44.7%)D+9.17,068
Worth1,992 (28.7%)4,835 (69.8%)R+41.06,931
Jasper1,709 (25.2%)4,977 (73.3%)R+48.16,788
Mitchell3,150 (47.7%)3,360 (50.8%)R+3.26,609
Towns1,439 (21.9%)5,042 (76.6%)R+54.86,580
Oglethorpe2,185 (33.3%)4,284 (65.2%)R+32.06,568
Tattnall1,755 (27.7%)4,487 (70.8%)R+43.16,337
Brantley647 (10.2%)5,586 (88.3%)R+78.16,328
Dodge1,839 (29.6%)4,285 (68.9%)R+39.36,217
Appling1,432 (23.1%)4,680 (75.4%)R+52.46,205
Dade1,179 (19.3%)4,834 (79.2%)R+59.96,105
Crisp2,485 (41.1%)3,466 (57.4%)R+16.26,042
Berrien1,091 (18.2%)4,826 (80.3%)R+62.26,007
Jefferson3,107 (55.9%)2,366 (42.6%)D+13.45,556
McIntosh2,312 (41.9%)3,120 (56.6%)R+14.75,515
Cook1,749 (31.9%)3,646 (66.6%)R+34.65,477
Brooks2,275 (42.4%)3,012 (56.1%)R+13.75,368
Long2,096 (39.9%)3,078 (58.6%)R+18.75,253
Screven2,229 (43.3%)2,846 (55.2%)R+12.05,152
Ben Hill1,915 (39.6%)2,852 (58.9%)R+19.44,840
Crawford1,385 (29.3%)3,264 (69.2%)R+39.84,720
Heard782 (16.9%)3,772 (81.6%)R+64.74,623
Bleckley1,164 (25.9%)3,269 (72.6%)R+46.84,500
Jeff Davis852 (19.5%)3,454 (79.0%)R+59.54,372
Wilkes1,771 (46.7%)1,967 (51.8%)R+5.23,795
Lincoln1,221 (33.3%)2,395 (65.2%)R+32.03,671
Wilkinson1,709 (46.8%)1,890 (51.7%)R+5.03,654
Early1,828 (50.3%)1,750 (48.2%)D+2.13,632
Bacon554 (15.4%)2,995 (83.1%)R+67.73,603
Macon2,239 (64.2%)1,198 (34.3%)D+29.93,489
Charlton912 (26.5%)2,482 (72.0%)R+45.63,446
Candler1,062 (31.2%)2,288 (67.3%)R+36.03,401
Twiggs1,626 (49.0%)1,642 (49.5%)R+0.53,318
Irwin867 (26.8%)2,318 (71.7%)R+44.93,233
Terrell1,852 (57.3%)1,332 (41.2%)D+16.13,232
Pulaski1,087 (33.7%)2,093 (64.8%)R+31.13,228
Evans1,074 (34.0%)2,039 (64.5%)R+30.53,160
Hancock2,316 (73.4%)794 (25.2%)D+48.23,157
Telfair1,149 (36.6%)1,941 (61.9%)R+25.23,137
Dooly1,574 (50.6%)1,489 (47.9%)D+2.73,110
Seminole1,046 (35.1%)1,892 (63.4%)R+28.42,983
Johnson957 (32.3%)1,965 (66.3%)R+34.02,966
Taylor1,172 (39.5%)1,749 (59.0%)R+19.42,965
Montgomery812 (27.5%)2,102 (71.1%)R+43.62,958
Turner1,161 (40.7%)1,650 (57.8%)R+17.12,854
Lanier876 (31.5%)1,863 (67.0%)R+35.52,781
Marion1,072 (39.8%)1,584 (58.8%)R+19.02,696
Jenkins1,014 (40.0%)1,486 (58.6%)R+18.62,538
Talbot1,571 (62.4%)907 (36.0%)D+26.42,516
Wilcox729 (29.3%)1,726 (69.3%)R+40.02,492
Treutlen777 (33.4%)1,512 (65.1%)R+31.72,324
Atkinson643 (28.3%)1,599 (70.3%)R+42.02,276
Randolph1,293 (58.1%)900 (40.4%)D+17.72,226
Clinch619 (28.6%)1,514 (69.9%)R+41.32,165
Miller590 (29.1%)1,408 (69.4%)R+40.32,028
Warren1,127 (58.4%)774 (40.1%)D+18.21,930
Schley406 (22.5%)1,375 (76.1%)R+53.61,808
Wheeler554 (32.7%)1,115 (65.8%)R+33.11,694
Calhoun932 (60.9%)576 (37.6%)D+23.21,531
Stewart946 (62.6%)541 (35.8%)D+26.81,510
Chattahoochee587 (46.6%)655 (51.9%)R+5.31,261
Glascock130 (10.5%)1,094 (88.0%)R+77.61,243
Baker498 (45.3%)585 (53.2%)R+7.91,099
Clay629 (58.6%)429 (39.9%)D+18.71,074
Echols129 (12.0%)926 (86.5%)R+74.41,071
Webster472 (47.4%)508 (51.1%)R+3.5995
Quitman408 (48.1%)428 (50.4%)R+2.3849
Taliaferro417 (63.4%)231 (35.1%)D+28.1658

Model benchmark — the 2024 result shifted by the state's projected swing, summing exactly to the forecast.

State government2026 outlook

Trifecta nowRepublican trifectaProjectedSplit control

ChamberNowProjected
SenateRR
HouseRR
State legislative outlook · modeledBoth chambers carry the Call the Map state legislature forecast — the same model the Chamber Board publishes.
Governor control: NCSL · 2026 State & Legislative Partisan Composition · Jan. 27, 2026Open the full Chamber Board →
The closest races in Georgiaby forecast margin