Call
the Map
Forecast6 days out
Race polling · SEN-GA

Georgia Senate polls 2026

Jon Ossoff (D) vs Mike Collins (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageD+8.8the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls2828 on file · 19 in the poll average · 9 not counted
Latest field dateOct 23Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-23 (5 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026D+8.8today's poll average of 19 polls

R+5EvenD+5D+10D+15D+20Oct ’25Jan ’26AprJulOct
  • poll in the average · area is its weight
  • not counted · shown, never moves the line
  • trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average
  • left of the break: 3 earlier polls, not on the time axis

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table
DaysAverage as it stoodTrend line
Oct 28, 2026D+8.8D+8.8
Oct 23–Oct 27, 2026D+8.8D+8.8
Oct 20–Oct 22, 2026D+8.2D+8.7 to D+8.8
Oct 17–Oct 19, 2026D+8.3D+8.6 to D+8.7
Oct 15–Oct 16, 2026D+8.2D+8.4 to D+8.5
Oct 9–Oct 14, 2026D+8.2D+8.3 to D+8.4
Sep 23–Oct 8, 2026D+8.2D+8.2 to D+8.3
Sep 18–Sep 22, 2026D+7.8D+8.1
Sep 16–Sep 17, 2026D+7.2D+7.9 to D+8.0
Sep 14–Sep 15, 2026D+7.8D+7.8 to D+7.9
Sep 12–Sep 13, 2026D+7.5D+7.7 to D+7.8
Aug 17–Sep 11, 2026D+7.9D+7.9 to D+7.7
Jul 16–Aug 16, 2026D+8.0D+8.0 to D+7.9
Jun 30–Jul 15, 2026D+7.5D+7.5 to D+8.0
Jun 27–Jun 29, 2026D+10.2D+7.8 to D+7.6
Apr 9–Jun 26, 2026D+5.2D+5.2 to D+7.9
Mar 2–Apr 8, 2026D+3.7D+3.7 to D+5.2
Sep 12–Mar 1, 2026D+0.5D+0.5 to D+3.7
Aug 1–Sep 11, 2025D+0.8D+0.8 to D+0.5

In Senate races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at a quarter of its weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+9.1.

Every poll on file · 28

newest added first

19 in the poll average · 9 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
●Echelon InsightsGeneral508 LVD+15.0Jon Ossoff 55Mike Collins 40Someone else 3Don't know 2Would not vote 01d ago0.58Poll release
University of Georgia School of Public and International AffairsGeneral · Senate1,000 LVD+8.0Jon Ossoff 48Mike Collins 407d agocounted once · listed twicePoll release
●Quantus InsightsGeneral755 LVD+7.3Jon Ossoff 52.7Mike Collins 45.4Don't know 20.66Poll release
●ActiVoteGeneral · Senate400 LVD+8.0Jon Ossoff 54Mike Collins 460.50Poll release
●University of GeorgiaGeneral1,000 LVD+8.0Jon Ossoff 48Mike Collins 40Don't know 120.74Poll release
●InsiderAdvantageGeneral1,200 LVD+8.0Jon Ossoff 50Mike Collins 42Don't know 80.63Poll release
●Trafalgar GroupGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan1,101 LVD+8.0Jon Ossoff 51Mike Collins 43Don't know 5.90.73Poll release
●Big Data PollGeneral · Senate678 LVD+10.8Jon Ossoff 55.4Mike Collins 44.6+1 other release0.47Poll release
●YouGovGeneral3,301 LVD+10.0Jon Ossoff 52Mike Collins 42Don't know 5Would not vote 1Someone else 1+2 other releases0.63Poll document
●Rasmussen ReportsGeneral · R sponsor · R partisan1,019 LVD+9.0Jon Ossoff 51Mike Collins 420.52Poll release
●Quantus InsightsGeneral645 LVD+4.1Jon Ossoff 49Mike Collins 44.9Don't know 5.2Someone else 0.90.43Poll release
●Trafalgar GroupGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan1,091 LVD+6.6Jon Ossoff 49.4Mike Collins 42.8Don't know 6.5Allen Buckley 1.30.53Poll document

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.