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FORECAST51 DAYS OUT
Race polling · SEN-GA

Georgia Senate polls

Jon Ossoff (D) vs Mike Collins (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateD+8.8same figure as the race page
Polls1212 recorded polls · 12 eligible for the aggregate · 9 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 12Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-12 (1 day old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+5EVEND+5D+10D+15Jan ’25JulJan ’26Jul
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 19

newest first

14 in the aggregate · 5 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedAddedSampleResultWeightSource
Trafalgar GroupGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan1,091 LVJon Ossoff 49.4Mike Collins 42.8Don't know 6.5Allen Buckley 1.32h ago0.933Poll document
InsiderAdvantageGeneral · Senate800 LVJon Ossoff 50.1Mike Collins 42.6+1 other release0.316Poll release
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchGeneral · Senate1,060 LVJon Ossoff 52Mike Collins 430.104Poll release
Fabrizio Ward/Impact ResearchGeneral1,060 LVJon Ossoff 52Mike Collins 43Don't know 5Someone else 00.104Poll release
WickGeneral · Senate1,175 LVJon Ossoff 46.7Mike Collins 42.9+1 other release0.082Poll release
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchGeneral · Senate1,002 RVJon Ossoff 56Mike Collins 430.065News coverage
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchGeneral1,002 RVJon Ossoff 56Mike Collins 43Don't know 1Would not vote 0Someone else 00.065News coverage
Echelon InsightsGeneral · Senate407 LVJon Ossoff 52Buddy Carter 43+3 other releases0.004Poll document
Emerson CollegeGeneral · Senate1,000 LVJon Ossoff 48.9Derek Dooley 41.4+4 other releases0.001Poll document
Quantus InsightsGeneral · Senate624 RVJon Ossoff 37.8Mike Collins 37.7+4 other releases0.000Poll document
TIPP InsightsGeneral · Senate · REP sponsor · REP partisan2,395 LVJon Ossoff 45Mike Collins 44+8 other releases0.000News coverage
CygnalGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan610 LVJon Ossoff 49.8John King 40Don't know 10.3not in the aggregatePollster post

Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.